Items where Author is "Hawkins, Professor Ed"

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Arnell, N. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Shepherd, T. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6631-9968, Haigh, I. D., Harvey, B. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Shaffrey, L. C. and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2025) High‐impact low-likelihood climate scenarios for risk assessment in the UK. Earth's Future, 13 (12). e2025EF006946. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: 10.1029/2025EF006946

Morice, C. P., Berry, D. I., Cornes, R. C., Cowtan, K., Cropper, T., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Kennedy, J. J., Osborn, T. J., Rayner, N. A., Recinos Rivas, B., Schurer, A. P., Taylor, M., Teleti, P. R., Wallis, E. J., Winn, J. and Kent, E. C. (2025) An observational record of global gridded near-surface air temperature change over land and ocean from 1781. Earth System Science Data, 17 (12). pp. 7079-7100. ISSN 1866-3508 doi: 10.5194/essd-17-7079-2025

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Burt, S., Meats, R., Baldock, M., Hersee, G., Huntley, J., O’Grady, J., Packman, S., Ross, C., Scrimgeour, I. and Silk, T. (2025) The rainfall observers. Weather, 80 (12). pp. 414-418. ISSN 0043-1656 doi: 10.1002/wea.7775

Pringle, K. J., Rigby, R., Turnock, S. T., Reddington, C. L., Shayakhmetova, M., Illingworth, M., Barclay, D., Chue Hong, N., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Hamilton, D. S., Brain, E. and McQuaid, J. B. (2025) Visualising historical changes in air pollution with the Air Quality Stripes. Geoscience Communication, 8 (4). pp. 229-236. ISSN 2569-7102 doi: 10.5194/gc-8-229-2025

Wilkinson, C., Divine, D. V., Brohan, P., Brönnimann, S., Compo, G., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Slivinski, L. C. (2025) Archives and climate science: transforming paper documents into global climate datasets. Norsk arkivforum, 31 (1). pp. 9-17. ISSN 2387-2829 doi: 10.18261/naf.31.1.3

Kelder, T., Heinrich, D., Klok, L., Thompson, V., Goulart, H. M. D., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Slater, L., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Wilby, R. L., Coughlan de Perez, E., Stephens, E. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Burt, S., van den Hurk, B., De Vries, H., van der Wiel, K., Schipper, L., Baez, A. C., van Bueren, E. and Fischer, E. M. (2025) How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather. Nature Communications, 16. 2382. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: 10.1038/s41467-025-57450-0

Sillmann, J., Raupach, T. H., Findell, K. L., Donat, M., Alves, L. M., Alexander, L., Borchert, L., de Amorim, P. B., Buontempo, C., Fischer, E. M., Franzke, C. L., Guan, B., Haasnoot, M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Jacob, D., Mahon, R., Maraun, D., Morrison, M. A., Poschlod, B., Ruane, A. C., Shampa, S., Stephenson, T., van der Wel, N., Wang, Z., Zhang, X. and Županić, J. (2024) Climate extremes and risks: links between climate science and decision-making. Frontiers in Climate, 6. 1499765. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: 10.3389/fclim.2024.1499765

Craig, P. M. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) Digitizing observations from the 1861–1875 Met Office Daily Weather Reports using citizen scientist volunteers. Geoscience Data Journal, 11 (4). pp. 608-622. ISSN 2049-6060 doi: 10.1002/gdj3.236

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Hannaford, J. and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2024) GC insights: communicating long-term changes in local climate risk using a physically plausible causal chain. Geoscience Communication, 7 (3). pp. 161-165. ISSN 2569-7102 doi: 10.5194/gc-7-161-2024

Teleti, P., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Wood, K. R. (2024) Digitizing weather observations from World War II US naval ship logbooks. Geoscience Data Journal, 11 (3). pp. 314-329. ISSN 2049-6060 doi: 10.1002/gdj3.222

Wallis, E. J., Osborn, T. J., Taylor, M., Jones, P. D., Joshi, M. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2024) Quantifying exposure biases in early instrumental land surface air temperature observations. International Journal of Climatology, 44 (5). pp. 1611-1635. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.8401

Luterbacher, J., Allan, R., Wilkinson, C., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Teleti, P., Lorrey, A., Brönnimann, S., Hechler, P., Velikou, K. and Xoplaki, E. (2024) The importance and scientific value of long weather and climate records; examples of historical marine data efforts across the globe. Climate, 12 (3). 39. ISSN 2225-1154 doi: 10.3390/cli12030039

Tett, S. F. B., Cha, Y., Donovan, K., Geffers, G.-M. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2023) The impact of an extreme cloud burst on Edinburgh Castle. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104 (10). E1807-E1816. ISSN 0003-0007 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-22-0196.1

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Compo, G. P. and Sardeshmukh, P. D. (2023) ESD ideas: translating historical extreme weather events into a warmer world. Earth System Dynamics, 14 (5). pp. 1081-1084. ISSN 2190-4979 doi: 10.5194/esd-14-1081-2023

Lehner, F., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Pendergrass, A. G. and Moore, F. C. (2023) New potential to reduce uncertainty in regional climate projections by combining physical and socio‐economic constraints. AGU Advances, 4 (4). e2023AV000887. ISSN 2576-604X doi: 10.1029/2023AV000887

Yule, E. L., Hegerl, G., Schurer, A. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2023) Using early extremes to place the 2022 UK heat waves into historical context. Atmospheric Science Letters, 24 (7). e1159. ISSN 1530-261X doi: 10.1002/asl.1159

O'Kane, T. J., Scaife, A. A., Kushnir, Y., Brookshaw, A., Buontempo, C., Carlin, D., Connell, R. K., Doblas-Reyes, F., Dunstone, N., Förster, K., Graça, A., Hobday, A. J., Kitsios, V., van der Laan, L., Lockwood, J., Merryfield, W. J., Paxian, A., Payne, M. R., Reader, M. C., Saville, G. R., Smith, D., Solaraju-Murali, B., Caltabiano, N., Carman, J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Keenlyside, N., Kumar, A., Matei, D., Pohlmann, H., Power, S., Raphael, M., Sparrow, M. and Wu, B. (2023) Recent applications and potential of near-term (interannual to decadal) climate predictions. Frontiers in Climate, 5. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: 10.3389/fclim.2023.1121626

Joshi, M., Hall, R. A., Stevens, D. P. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2023) The modelled climatic response to the 18.6-year lunar nodal cycle and its role in decadal temperature trends. Earth System Dynamics, 14 (2). pp. 443-455. ISSN 2190-4979 doi: 10.5194/esd-14-443-2023

Grose, M. R., Boschat, G., Trewin, B., Round, V., Ashcroft, L., King, A. D., Narsey, S. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2023) Australian climate warming: observed change from 1850 and global temperature targets. Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, 73 (1). pp. 30-43. ISSN 2206-5865 doi: 10.1071/ES22018

Lorrey, A. M., Pearce, P. R., Allan, R., Wilkinson, C., Woolley, J.-M., Judd, E., Mackay, S., Rawhat, S., Slivinski, L., Wilkinson, S., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Quesnel, P. and Compo, G. P. (2022) Meteorological data rescue: citizen science lessons learned from Southern Weather Discovery. Patterns, 3 (6). 100495. ISSN 2666-3899 doi: 10.1016/j.patter.2022.100495

King, A. D., Kale Sniderman, J. M., Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Brown, J. R., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Ziehn, T. (2021) Studying climate stabilization at Paris Agreement levels. Nature Climate Change, 11. pp. 1010-1013. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/s41558-021-01225-0

Slivinski, L. C., Compo, G. P., Sardeshmukh, P. D., Whitaker, J. S., McColl, C., Allan, R. J., Brohan, P., Yin, X., Smith, C. A., Spencer, L. J., Vose, R. S., Rohrer, M., Conroy, R. P., Schuster, D. C., Kennedy, J. J., Ashcroft, L., Brönnimann, S., Brunet, M., Camuffo, D., Cornes, R., Cram, T. A., Domínguez-Castro, F., Freeman, J. E., Gergis, J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Jones, P. D., Kubota, H., Lee, T. C., Lorrey, A. M., Luterbacher, J., Mock, C. J., Przybylak, R. K., Pudmenzky, C., Slonosky, V. C., Tinz, B., Trewin, B., Wang, X. L., Wilkinson, C., Wood, K. and Wyszyński, P. (2021) An evaluation of the performance of the twentieth century reanalysis version 3. Journal of Climate, 34 (4). pp. 1417-1438. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-20-0505.1

Craig, P. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9213-4599 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2020) Digitizing observations from the Met Office Daily Weather Reports for 1900–1910 using citizen scientist volunteers. Geoscience Data Journal, 7 (2). pp. 116-134. ISSN 2049-6060 doi: 10.1002/gdj3.93

Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2020) ESD Ideas: global climate response scenarios for IPCC assessments. Earth System Dynamics, 11. pp. 751-754. ISSN 2190-4979 doi: 10.5194/esd-11-751-2020

Hegerl, G. C., Brönnimann, S., Cowan, T., Friedman, A. R., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Iles, C., Müller, W., Schurer, A. and Undorf, S. (2019) Causes of climate change over the historical record. Environmental Research Letters, 14 (12). 123006. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/ab4557

Wood, R. A., Rodríguez, J. M., Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Jackson, L. C. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2019) Observable, low-order dynamical controls on thresholds of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Climate Dynamics, 53 (11). pp. 6815-6834. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04956-1

Valdivieso Da Costa, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1738-7016, Owens, M. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2061-2453, Scott, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6411-5649, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Burt, S. and Craig, P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9213-4599 (2019) Thunderstorm occurrence at ten sites across Great Britain over 1884–1993. Geoscience Data Journal, 6 (2). pp. 222-233. ISSN 2049-6060 doi: 10.1002/gdj3.75

Slivinski, L. C., Compo, G. P., Whitaker, J. S., Sardeshmukh, P. D., Giese, B. S., McColl, C., Allan, R., Yin, X., Vose, R., Titchner, H., Kennedy, J., Spencer, L. J., Ashcroft, L., Brönnimann, S., Brunet, M., Camuffo, D., Cornes, R., Cram, T. A., Crouthamel, R., Domínguez‐Castro, F., Freeman, J. E., Gergis, J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Jones, P. D., Jourdain, S., Kaplan, A., Kubota, H., Blancq, F. L., Lee, T.‐C., Lorrey, A., Luterbacher, J., Maugeri, M., Mock, C. J., Moore, G.W. K., Przybylak, R., Pudmenzky, C., Reason, C., Slonosky, V. C., Smith, C. A., Tinz, B., Trewin, B., Valente, M. A., Wang, X. L., Wilkinson, C., Wood, K. and Wyszyński, P. (2019) Towards a more reliable historical reanalysis: improvements for version 3 of the Twentieth Century Reanalysis system. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (724). pp. 2876-2908. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: 10.1002/qj.3598

Burt, S. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2019) Near-zero humidities on Ben Nevis, Scotland, revealed by pioneering 19th-century observers and modern volunteers. International Journal of Climatology, 39 (11). pp. 4451-4466. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.6084

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Fæhn, T. and Fuglestvedt, J. (2019) The climate spiral demonstrates the power of sharing creative ideas. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100 (5). pp. 753-756. ISSN 0003-0007 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0228.1

Marchi, S., Fichefet, T., Goosse, H., Zunz, V., Tietsche, S., Day, J. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2019) Reemergence of Antarctic sea ice predictability and its link to deep ocean mixing in global climate models. Climate Dynamics, 52 (5-6). pp. 2775-2797. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4292-2

Kushnir, Y., Scaife, A. A., Arritt, R., Balsamo, G., Boer, G., Doblas-Reyes, F., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Kimoto, M., Kolli, R. K., Kumar, A., Matei, D., Matthes, K., Müller, W. A., O'Kane, T., Perlwitz, J., Power, S., Raphael, M., Shimpo, A., Smith, D., Tuma, M. and Wu, B. (2019) Towards operational predictions of the near-term climate. Nature Climate Change, 9. pp. 94-101. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: 10.1038/s41558-018-0359-7

Stammer, D., Bracco, A., Braconnot, P., Brasseur, G. P., Griffies, S. M. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2018) Science directions in a post-COP21-world of transient climate change: enabling regional to local predictions in support of reliable climate information. Earth's Future, 6 (11). pp. 1498-1507. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: 10.1029/2018EF000979

Cassou, C., Kushnir, Y., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Pirani, A., Kucharski, F., Kang, I.-S. and Caltabiano, N. (2018) Decadal climate variability and predictability: challenges and opportunities. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99 (3). pp. 479-490. ISSN 0003-0007 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-16-0286.1

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Ortega, P., Suckling, E., Schurer, A., Hegerl, G., Jones, P., Joshi, M., Osborn, T. J., Masson-Delmotte, V., Mignot, J., Thorne, P. and van Oldenborgh, G. J. (2017) Estimating changes in global temperature since the preindustrial period. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 98 (9). pp. 1841-1856. ISSN 0003-0007 doi: 10.1175/bams-d-16-0007.1

Santer, B. D., Fyfe, J. C., Pallotta, G., Flato, G. M., Meehl, G. A., England, M. H., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Mann, M. E., Painter, J. F., Bonfils, C., Cvijanovic, I., Mears, C., Wentz, F. J., Po-Chedley, S., Fu, Q. and Zou, C.-Z. (2017) Causes of differences in model and satellite tropospheric warming rates. Nature Geoscience, 10 (7). pp. 478-485. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: 10.1038/ngeo2973

Lockwood, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7397-2172, Owens, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2061-2453, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Jones, G. S. and Usoskin, I. (2017) Frost fairs, sunspots and the Little Ice Age. Astronomy & Geophysics, 58 (2). 2.17-2.23. ISSN 1366-8781 doi: 10.1093/astrogeo/atx057

Marotzke, J., Jakob, C., Bony, S., Dirmeyer, P. A., O'Gorman, P. A., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Perkins-Kirkpatrick, S., Quéré, C. L., Nowicki, S., Paulavets, K., Seneviratne, S. I., Stevens, B. and Tuma, M. (2017) Climate research must sharpen its view. Nature Climate Change, 7 (2). pp. 89-91. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate3206

Shaffrey, L. C., Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Stevens, D. P., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Polo, I., Stevens, I., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Lister, G., Iwi, A., Smith, D. and Stephens, A. (2017) Decadal predictions with the HiGEM high resolution global coupled climate model: description and basic evaluation. Climate Dynamics, 48 (1). pp. 297-311. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3075-x

Good, P., Booth, B. B. B., Chadwick, R., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Jonko, A. and Lowe, J. A. (2016) Large differences in regional precipitation change between a first and second 2 K of global warming. Nature Communications, 7. 13667. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: 10.1038/ncomms13667

Richardson, M., Cowtan, K., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Stolpe, M. B. (2016) Reconciled climate response estimates from climate models and the energy budget of Earth. Nature Climate Change, 6 (10). pp. 931-935. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate3066

Anderson, T. R., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Jones, P. D. (2016) CO2, the greenhouse effect and global warming: from the pioneering work of Arrhenius and Callendar to today's Earth System Models. Endeavour, 40 (3). pp. 178-187. ISSN 0160-9327 doi: 10.1016/j.endeavour.2016.07.002

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2016) Connecting climate model projections of global temperature change with the real world. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97 (6). pp. 963-980. ISSN 0003-0007 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00154.1

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Stainforth, D. A. (2016) Irreducible uncertainty in near-term climate projections. Climate Dynamics, 46 (11). pp. 3807-3819. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-015-2806-8

Harrington, L. J., Frame, D. J., Fischer, E. M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Joshi, M. and Jones, C. D. (2016) Poorest countries experience earlier anthropogenic emergence of daily temperature extremes. Environmental Research Letters, 11 (5). 055007. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/11/5/055007

Holmes, C. R., Woollings, T., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and de Vries, H. (2016) Robust future changes in temperature variability under greenhouse gas forcing and the relationship with thermal advection. Journal of Climate, 29 (6). pp. 2221-2236. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00735.1

Fyfe, J. C., Meehl, G. A., England, M. H., Mann, M. E., Santer, B. D., Flato, G. M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Gillett, N. P., Xie, S.-P., Kosaka, Y. and Swart, N. C. (2016) Making sense of the early-2000s warming slowdown. Nature Climate Change, 6 (3). pp. 224-228. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate2938

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Tietsche, S., Day, J. J., Melia, N., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374 and Keeley, S. (2016) Aspects of designing and evaluating seasonal-to-interannual Arctic sea-ice prediction systems. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (695). pp. 672-683. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: 10.1002/qj.2643

Tietsche, S., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Day, J. J. (2016) Atmospheric and oceanic contributions to irreducible forecast uncertainty of Arctic surface climate. Journal of Climate, 29 (1). pp. 331-346. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0421.1

Guemas, V., Blanchard-Wrigglesworth, E., Chevallier, M., Day, J. J., Déqué, M., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Fučkar, N., Germe, A., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Keeley, S., Koenigk, T., Salas y Mélia, D. and Tietsche, S. (2016) A review on Arctic sea ice predictability and prediction on seasonal-to-decadal timescales. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (695). pp. 546-561. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2401

Eden, J., van Oldenborgh, G. J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Suckling, E. B. (2015) A global empirical system for probabilistic seasonal climate prediction. Geoscientific Model Development, 8 (12). pp. 3947-3973. ISSN 1991-959X doi: 10.5194/gmd-8-3947-2015

Melia, N., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2015) Improved Arctic sea-ice thickness projections using bias corrected CMIP5 simulations. The Cryosphere, 9 (6). pp. 2237-2251. ISSN 1994-0424 doi: 10.5194/tc-9-2237-2015

Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Suckling, E. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2015) What does global mean temperature tell us about local climate? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 373. 20140426. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2014.0426

Allison, L., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Woollings, T. (2015) An event-based approach to understanding decadal fluctuations in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Climate Dynamics, 44 (1-2). pp. 163-190. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2271-9

King, A. D., Donat, M. G., Fischer, E. M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Alexander, L. V., Karoly, D. J., Dittus, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9598-6869, Lewis, S. C. and Perkins, S. E. (2015) The timing of anthropogenic emergence in simulated climate extremes. Environmental Research Letters, 10 (9). 094015. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/9/094015

Xie, S.-P., Deser, C., Vecchi, G. A., Collins, M., Delworth, T. L., Hall, A., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Johnson, N. C., Cassou, C., Giannini, A. and Watanabe, M. (2015) Towards predictive understanding of regional climate change. Nature Climate Change, 5 (10). pp. 921-930. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: 10.1038/nclimate2689

Cowtan, K., Hausfather, Z., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Jacobs, P., Mann, M. E., Miller, S. K., Steinman, B. A., Stolpe, M. B. and Way, R. G. (2015) Robust comparison of climate models with observations using blended land air and ocean sea surface temperatures. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (15). pp. 6526-6534. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2015GL064888

Swart, N. C., Fyfe, J. C., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Kay, J. E. and Jahn, A. (2015) Influence of internal variability on Arctic sea-ice trends. Nature Climate Change, 5 (2). pp. 86-89. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate2483

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, McNeall, D., Williams, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0680-0098, Stephenson, D. and Carlson, D. (2015) Graphics: scrap rainbow colour scales. Nature, 519 (7543). p. 291. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: 10.1038/519291d

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, McNeall, D., Williams, J., Stephenson, D. and Carlson, D. (2015) Graphics: scrap rainbow colour scales. Nature, 519 (7543). p. 291. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: 10.1038/519291d

Anderson, B. T., Lintner, B. R., Langenbrunner, B., Neelin, J. D., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Syktus, J. (2015) Sensitivity of terrestrial precipitation trends to the structural evolution of sea surface temperatures. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (4). pp. 1190-1196. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2014GL062593

Usoskin, I. G., Arlt, R., Asvestari, E., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Käpylä, M., Kovaltsov, G. A., Krivova, N., Lockwood, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7397-2172, Mursula, K., O'Reilly, J., Owens, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2061-2453, Scott, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6411-5649, Sokoloff, D. D., Solanki, S. K., Soon, W. and Vaquero, J. M. (2015) The Maunder minimum (1645-1715) was indeed a grand minimum: a reassessment of multiple datasets. Astronomy & Astrophysics, 581. A95. ISSN 0004-6361 doi: 10.1051/0004-6361/201526652

Fischer, E. M., Sedláček, J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Knutti, R. (2014) Models agree on forced response pattern of precipitation and temperature extremes. Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (23). pp. 8554-8562. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2014GL062018

Day, J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Tietsche, S. (2014) Will Arctic sea ice thickness initialization improve seasonal forecast skill? Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (21). pp. 7566-7575. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2014GL061694

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Joshi, M. and Frame, D. (2014) Wetter then drier in some tropical areas. Nature Climate Change, 4 (8). pp. 646-647. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate2299

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Edwards, T. and McNeall, D. (2014) Pause for thought. Nature Climate Change, 4 (3). pp. 154-156. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate2150

Smith, D. M., Scaife, A. A., Boer, G. J., Caian, M., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Guemas, V., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Hazeleger, W., Hermanson, L., Ho, C. K., Ishii, M., Kharin, V., Kimoto, M., Kirtman, B., Lean, J., Matei, D., Merryfield, W. J., Müller, W. A., Pohlmann, H., Rosati, A., Wouters, B. and Wyser, K. (2013) Real-time multi-model decadal climate predictions. Climate Dynamics, 41 (11-12). pp. 2875-2888. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1600-0

Ba, J., Keenlyside, N. S., Park, W., Latif, M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Ding, H. (2013) A mechanism for Atlantic multidecadal variability in the Kiel Climate Model. Climate Dynamics, 41 (7-8). pp. 2133-2144. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1633-4

Ho, C. K., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Shaffrey, L. and Underwood, F. M. (2013) Statistical decadal predictions for sea surface temperatures: a benchmark for dynamical GCM predictions. Climate Dynamics, 41 (3-4). pp. 917-935. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1531-9

Vermeulen, S. J., Challinor, A. J., Thornton, P. K., Campbell, B. M., Eriyagama, N., Vervoort, J. M., Kinyangi, J., Jarvis, A., Laderach, P., Ramirez-Villegas, J., Nicklin, K. J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Smith, D. R. (2013) Addressing uncertainty in adaptation planning for agriculture. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 110 (21). pp. 8357-8362. ISSN 0027-8424 doi: 10.1073/pnas.1219441110

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Osborne, T. M., Ho, C. K. and Challinor, A. J. (2013) Calibration and bias correction of climate projections for crop modelling: an idealised case study over Europe. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 170. pp. 19-31. ISSN 0168-1923 doi: 10.1016/j.agrformet.2012.04.007

Vecchi, G. A., Msadek, R., Delworth, T. L., Dixon, K. W., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Karspeck, A. R., Mignot, J., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Rosati, A. and Zhang, R. (2012) Comment on “Multiyear prediction of monthly mean Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5°N”. Science, 338 (6107). p. 604. ISSN 1095-9203 doi: 10.1126/science.1222566

Vecchi, G. A., Msadek, R., Delworth, T. L., Dixon, K. W., Guilyardi, E., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Karspeck, A. R., Mignot, J., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Rosati, A. and Zhang, R. (2012) Comment on “Multiyear prediction of monthly mean Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5°N”. Science, 338 (6107). p. 604. ISSN 0036-8075 doi: 10.1126/science.1222566

Chalmers, N., Highwood, E. J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2012) Aerosol contribution to the rapid warming of near-term climate under RCP 2.6. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (18). L18709. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2012GL052848

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Vidale, P. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1800-8460 (2012) Meteorology: Counting the coming storms. Nature Climate Change, 2 (8). pp. 574-575. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: 10.1038/nclimate1639

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Smith, D. and Keenlyside, N. (2011) Evaluating the potential for statistical decadal predictions of sea surface temperatures with a perfect model approach. Climate Dynamics, 37 (11-12). pp. 2495-2509. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1023-3

Joshi, M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Lowe, J. and Frame, D. (2011) Projections of when temperature change will exceed 2°C above pre-industrial levels. Nature Climate Change, 1 (8). pp. 407-412. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE1261

Yip, S., Ferro, C. A. T., Stephenson, D. B. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2011) A simple, coherent framework for partitioning uncertainty in climate predictions. Journal of Climate, 24 (17). pp. 4634-4643. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI4085.1

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2011) Our evolving climate: communicating the effects of climate variability. Weather, 66 (7). pp. 175-179. ISSN 1477-8696 doi: 10.1002/wea.761

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2011) The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change. Climate Dynamics, 37 (1-2). pp. 407-418. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-010-0810-6

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Allison, L. C., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Woollings, T. J., Pohlmann, H. and de Cuevas, B. (2011) Bistability of the Atlantic overturning circulation in a global climate model and links to ocean freshwater transport. Geophysical Research Letters, 38 (10). L10605. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2011GL047208

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2011) Estimating climatically relevant singular vectors for decadal predictions of the Atlantic Ocean. Journal of Climate, 24 (1). pp. 109-123. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3579.1

Ortega, P., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2011) Processes governing the predictability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a coupled GCM. Climate Dynamics, 37 (9-10). pp. 1771-1782. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1025-1

Poulter, B., Hattermann, F., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Zaehle, S., Sitch, S., Restrepo-Coupe, N., Heyder, U. and Cramer, W. (2010) Robust dynamics of Amazon dieback to climate change with perturbed ecosystem model parameters. Global Change Biology, 16 (9). pp. 2476-2495. ISSN 1354-1013 doi: 10.1111/j.1365-2486.2009.02157.x

Meehl, G. A., Goddard, L., Murphy, J., Stouffer, R. J., Boer, G., Danabasoglu, G., Dixon, K., Giorgetta, M. A., Greene, A. M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Hegerl, G., Karoly, D., Keenlyside, N., Kimoto, M., Kirtman, B., Navarra, A., Pulwarty, R., Smith, D., Stammer, D. and Stockdale, T. (2009) Decadal Prediction. Can It Be Skillful? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 90 (10). pp. 1467-1485. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/2009BAMS2778.1

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2009) The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 90 (8). pp. 1095-1107. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/2009BAMS2607.1

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2009) Decadal predictability of the Atlantic Ocean in a coupled GCM: forecast skill and optimal perturbations using Linear Inverse Modelling. Journal of Climate, 22 (14). pp. 3960-3978. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI2720.1

Book or Report Section

Arias, P. A., Bellouin, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2109-9559, Coppola, E., Jones, R. G., Krinner, G., Marotzke, J., Naik, V., Palmer, M. D., Plattner, G.-K., Rogelj, J., Rojas, M., Sillmann, J., Storelvmo, T., Thorne, P. W., Trewin, B., Rao, K. A., Adhikary, B., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Armour, K., Bala, G., Barimalala, R., Berger, S., Canadell, J. G., Cassou, C., Cherchi, A., Collins, W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7419-0850, Collins, W. D., Connors, S. L., Corti, S., Cruz, F., Dentener, F. J., Dereczynski, C., Luca, A. D., Niang, A. D., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Dosio, A., Douville, H., Engelbrecht, F., Eyring, V., Fischer, E., Forster, P., Fox-Kemper, B., Fuglestvedt, J. S., Fyfe, J. C., Gillett, N. P., Goldfarb, L., Gorodetskaya, I., Gutierrez, J. M., Hamdi, R., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Hewitt, H. T., Hope, P., Islam, A. S., Jones, C., Kaufman, D. S., Kopp, R. E., Kosaka, Y., Kossin, J., Krakovska, S., Lee, J.-Y., Li, J., Mauritsen, T., Maycock, T. K., Meinshausen, M., Min, S.-K., Monteiro, P. M. S., Ngo-Duc, T., Otto, F., Pinto, I., Pirani, A., Raghavan, K., Ranasinghe, R., Ruane, A. C., Ruiz, L., Sallée, J.-B., Samset, B. H., Sathyendranath, S., Seneviratne, S. I., Sörensson, A. A., Szopa, S., Takayabu, I., Tréguier, A.-M., van den Hurk, B., Vautard, R., von Schuckmann, K., Zaehle, S., Zhang, X. and Zickfeld., K. (2021) Technical summary. In: Masson-Delmotte, V. P., Zhai, A., Pirani, S. L. and Connors, C. (eds.) Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis: Working Group. Contribution to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change:. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, pp. 33-144. doi: 10.1017/9781009157896.002

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Qingchen, C., Ying, X., Junfeng, L., Tong, J., Guangsheng, Z., Kexiu, L., Brown, S., Challinor, A., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Koehler, A.-K., Nicholls, R., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Rensheng, C., Xiaomin, L. and Wentao, W. (2018) Direct risks of climate change. In: UK-China Co-operation on Climate Change Risk Assessment: Developing Indicators of Climate Risk. Committee on Climate Change, London, pp. 58-97.

Report

Wolf, E., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Friedlingstein, P., Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Haigh, J., Haines, A., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Hegerl, G., Hoskins, B., Mace, G., Prentice, I. C., Shine, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2672-9978, Smith, P., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Turley, C., (2017) Climate updates: what have we learnt since the IPCC 5th Assessment Report? Report. The Royal Society, London, UK. pp36. ISBN 9781782523062

Melia, N., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, (2017) Implications from opening Arctic sea routes. Foresight: Future of the Sea. Report. Government Office for Science, Gov.uk. pp39.

Book

Asher, C., Britton, B., Coe, H., Collins, M., Few, S., Finlayson, B., Gilbert, A., Graven, H., Grimmond, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3166-9415, Haigh, J. D., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Highwood, E., Lawrence, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9262-7860, Marshall, S., Marsham, J., Shepherd, J., Shine, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2672-9978 and Woolings, T. (2019) 30-second climate: the 50 most topical features, measurements and phenomena, each explained in half a minute. Ivy Press. ISBN 9781782405504

This list was generated on Wed Sep 23 23:41:25 2026 UTC.