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Items where Author is "Stephens, Professor Liz"

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Number of items: 30.

Article

Kelder, T., Heinrich, D., Klok, L., Thompson, V., Goulart, H. M. D., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Slater, L., Suarez-Gutierrez, L., Wilby, R. L., Coughlan de Perez, E., Stephens, E. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Burt, S., van den Hurk, B., De Vries, H., van der Wiel, K., Schipper, L., Baez, A. C., van Bueren, E. and Fischer, E. M. (2025) How to stop being surprised by unprecedented weather. Nature Communications, 16. 2382. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: 10.1038/s41467-025-57450-0

Mitheu, F., Tarnavsky, E., Ficchì, A., Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556 and Petty, C. (2024) The utility of impact data in flood forecast verification for anticipatory actions: case studies from Uganda and Kenya. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 18 (1). e12911. ISSN 1753-318X doi: 10.1111/jfr3.12911

Heinrich, D., Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563 and Coughlan de Perez, E. (2024) More than Magnitude: towards a multidimensional understanding of unprecedented weather to better support disaster management. Water Security, 23. 100181. ISSN 2468-3124 doi: 10.1016/j.wasec.2024.100181

Mitheu, F., Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Petty, C., Ficchì, A., Tarnavsky, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3403-0411 and Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556 (2023) Impact-based flood early warning for rural livelihoods in Uganda. Weather, Climate, and Society, 15 (3). pp. 525-539. ISSN 1948-8335 doi: 10.1175/wcas-d-22-0089.1

Coughlan de Perez, E., Fuentes, I., Jack, C., Kruczkiewicz, A., Pinto, I. and Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563 (2022) Different types of drought under climate change or geoengineering: systematic review of societal implications. Frontiers in Climate, 4. 959519. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: 10.3389/fclim.2022.959519

Mitheu, F., Petty, C., Tarnavsky, E., Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Ciampi, L., Butsatsa, J. and Cornforth, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4379-9556 (2022) Identifying the barriers and opportunities in the provision and use of weather and climate information for flood risk preparedness: the case of Katakwi District, Uganda. Frontiers in Climate, 4. 908662. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: 10.3389/fclim.2022.908662

Zsoter, E., Arduini, G., Prudhomme, C., Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563 and Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2022) Hydrological impact of the new ECMWF multi-Layer snow scheme. Atmosphere, 13 (5). 727. ISSN 1598-3560 doi: 10.3390/atmos13050727

Coughlan de Perez, E., Stephens, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, van Aalst, M., Bazo, J., Fournier-Tombs, E., Funk, S., Hess, J., Ranger, N. and Lowe, R. (2022) Epidemiological versus meteorological forecasts: best practice for linking models to policymaking. International Journal of Forecasting, 38 (2). pp. 521-526. ISSN 0169-2070 doi: 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2021.08.003

Titley, H. A., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Harrigan, S., Pappenberger, F., Prudhomme, C., Robbins, J. C., Stephens, E. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563 and Zsoter, E. (2021) Key factors influencing the severity of fluvial flood hazard from tropical cyclones. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 22 (7). pp. 1801-1817. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-20-0250.1

Emerton, R., Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Ficchi, A., Hawker, L., de Wit, S., Speight, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8700-157X, Prudhomme, C., Rundell, P., West, R., Neal, J., Cuna, J., Harrigan, S., Titley, H., Magnusson, L., Pappenberger, F., Klingaman, N. and Stephens, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563 (2020) Emergency flood bulletins for Cyclones Idai and Kenneth: a critical evaluation of the use of global flood forecasts for international humanitarian preparedness and response. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction, 50. 101811. ISSN 2212-4209 doi: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2020.101811

Stephens, E. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Spiegelhalter, D. J., Mylne, K. and Harrison, M. (2019) The Met Office weather game: investigating how different methods for presenting probabilistic weather forecasts influence decision-making. Geoscience Communication, 2. pp. 101-116. ISSN 2569-7102 doi: 10.5194/gc-2-101-2019

Towner, J., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Zsoter, E., Flamig, Z., Hoch, J. M., Bazo, J., Coughlan de Perez, E. and Stephens, E. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563 (2019) Assessing the performance of global hydrological models for capturing peak river flows in the Amazon basin. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 23 (7). pp. 3057-3080. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: 10.5194/hess-23-3057-2019

Coughlan de Perez, E., Van Aalst, M., Bischiniotis, K., Mason, S., Nissan, H., Pappenberger, F., Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563 and van den Hurk, B. (2018) Global predictability of temperature extremes. Environmental Research Letters, 13 (5). 054017. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aab94a

Arnal, L., Wood, A. W., Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X and Pappenberger, F. (2017) An efficient approach for estimating streamflow forecast skill elasticity. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18 (6). pp. 1715-1729. ISSN 1525-755X doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-16-0259.1

Arnal, L., Ramos, M.-H., Coughlan de Perez, E., Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Wetterhall, F., van Andel, S.-J. and Pappenberger, F. (2016) Willingness-to-pay for a probabilistic flood forecast: a risk-based decision-making game. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 20 (8). pp. 3109-3128. ISSN 1027-5606 doi: 10.5194/hess-20-3109-2016

Emerton, R. E., Stephens, E. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Pappenberger, F., Pagano, T. C., Weerts, A. H., Wood, A. W., Salamon, P., Brown, J. D., Hjerdt, N., Donnelly, C., Baugh, C. and Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2016) Continental and global scale flood forecasting systems. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Water, 3 (3). pp. 391-418. ISSN 2049-1948 doi: 10.1002/wat2.1137

Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Day, J. J., Pappenberger, F. and Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2015) Precipitation and floodiness. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (23). pp. 10316-10323. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2015GL066779

Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563 and Bates, P. (2015) Assessing the reliability of probabilistic flood inundation model predictions. Hydrological Processes, 29 (19). pp. 4264-4283. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: 10.1002/hyp.10451

Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563 and Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2014) Improving flood forecasts for better flood preparedness in the UK (and beyond). Geographical Journal, 180 (4). pp. 310-316. ISSN 0016-7398 doi: 10.1111/geoj.12103

Wong, J. S., Freer, J. E., Bates, P. D. and Stephens, E. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563 (2014) Sensitivity of a hydraulic model to changes in channel erosion during extreme flooding. Hydrological Processes, 29 (2). pp. 261-279. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: 10.1002/hyp.10148

Pappenberger, F., Stephens, E. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Thielen, J., Salamon, P., Demeritt, D., Van Andel, S. J., Wetterhall, F. and Alfieri, L. (2013) Visualizing probabilistic flood forecast information: expert preferences and perceptions of best practice in uncertainty communication. Hydrological Processes, 27 (1). pp. 132-146. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: 10.1002/hyp.9253

Pappenberger, F., Stephens, E. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Thielen, J., Salamon, P., Demeritt, D., Van Andel, S. J., Wetterhall, F. and Alfieri, L. (2013) Visualizing probabilistic flood forecast information: expert preferences and perceptions of best practice in uncertainty communication. Hydrological Processes, 27 (1). pp. 132-146. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: 10.1002/hyp.9253

Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Schumann, G. and Bates, P. (2013) Problems with binary pattern measures for flood model evaluation. Hydrological Processes, 28 (18). pp. 4928-4937. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: 10.1002/hyp.9979

Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Schumann, G. and Bates, P. (2013) Problems with binary pattern measures for flood model evaluation. Hydrological Processes, 28 (18). pp. 4928-4937. ISSN 0885-6087 doi: 10.1002/hyp.9979

Stephens, E. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Edwards, T. L. and Demeritt, D. (2012) Communicating probabilistic information from climate model ensembles—lessons from numerical weather prediction. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 3 (5). pp. 409-426. ISSN 1757-7799 doi: 10.1002/wcc.187

Stephens, E. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Edwards, T. L. and Demeritt, D. (2012) Communicating probabilistic information from climate model ensembles—lessons from numerical weather prediction. Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, 3 (5). pp. 409-426. ISSN 1757-7780 doi: 10.1002/wcc.187

Stephens, E. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Bates, P. D., Freer, J. and Mason, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081 (2012) The impact of uncertainty in satellite data on the assessment of flood inundation models. Journal of Hydrology, 414-41. pp. 162-173. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.10.040 (414-415, 162-173)

Report

Kimutai, J., Vautard, R., Zachariah, M., Tolasz, R., Šustková, V., Cassou, C., Skalák, P., Clarke, B., Haslinger, K., Vahlberg, M., Singh, R., Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Raju, E., Baumgart, N., Thalheimer, L., Chojnicki, B., Otto, F., Koren, G., Philip, S., Kew, S., Haro, P., Vibert, J. and Von Weissenberg, A., (2024) Climate change and high exposure increased costs and disruption to lives and livelihoods from flooding associated with exceptionally heavy rainfall in Central Europe. Report. World Weather Attribution doi: 10.25561/114694

Pillosu, F. M., Bucherie, A., Kruczkiewicz, A., Haiden, T., Baugh, C., Hultquist, C., Vergara, H., Pappenberger, F., Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, Prudhomme, C. and Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, (2024) Can global rainfall forecasts identify areas at flash flood risk? Proof of concept for Ecuador. Report. ECMWF doi: 10.21957/8e2dd559f0

Zsótér, E., Cloke, H. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X, Prudhomme, C., Harrigan, S., de Rosnay, P., Munoz-Sabater, J. and Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563, (2020) Trends in the GloFAS-ERA5 river discharge reanalysis. ECMWF Technical Memoranda. Report. ECMWF doi: 10.21957/p9jrh0xp

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