Improving flood forecasts for better flood preparedness in the UK (and beyond)

Stephens, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5439-7563 and Cloke, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1472-868X (2014) Improving flood forecasts for better flood preparedness in the UK (and beyond). Geographical Journal, 180 (4). pp. 310-316. ISSN 0016-7398 doi: 10.1111/geoj.12103

Abstract/Summary

This winter (2013/14) coastal storms and an unprecedented amount of rainfall led to significant and widespread flooding across the southern UK. Despite much criticism and blame surrounding the flood events, the Flood Forecasting Centre, a recent development in national-level flood forecasting capabilities for the government and emergency response communities, has received considerable praise. Here we consider how scientific developments and organisational change have led to improvements in the forecasting and flood preparedness seen in this winter's flooding. Although such improvements are admirable, there are many technical and communication challenges that remain for probabilistic flood forecasts to achieve their full potential.

Item Type	Article
URI	https://reading-pure-test.eprints-hosting.org/id/eprint/37823
Identification Number/DOI	10.1111/geoj.12103
Refereed	Yes
Divisions	Central Services Science > School of Mathematical, Physical and Computational Sciences > Department of Meteorology
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