Items where Division is "National Centre for Earth Observation (NCEO)"

2025

Bhatt, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7061-1817, Debreu, L. and Vidard, A. (2025) Introducing time parallelization within data assimilation. SIAM Journal on Scientific Computing, 47 (2). B533-B557. ISSN 1095-7197 doi: 10.1137/24M1651903

John, V. O., Shi, L., Chung, E.-S., Stevens, T., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Buehler, S. A. and Soden, B. J. (2025) Upper Tropospheric Humidity [in "State of the Climate in 2024"]. In: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. 106 (8). American Meteorological Society, S563-S564. doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-25-0102.1

Kent, E. C., Chan, D., Cornes, R. C., Neilsen-Englyst, P., Kajtar, J. B., Merchant, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850, Thorne, P. W., Wallis, E. J. and Woolway, R. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0498-7968 (2025) Global surface temperatures. In: Letcher, T. and Fthenakis, V. M. (eds.) Energy and Climate Change: Our New Future. Academic Press, London, UK, pp. 85-120. ISBN 9780443219276

2024

Harris, B. L., Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613, Taylor, C. M. and Harris, P. P. (2024) Contrasting responses of vegetation productivity to intraseasonal rainfall in Earth system models. Earth System Dynamics, 15 (4). pp. 1019-1035. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: 10.5194/esd-15-1019-2024

John, V. O., Shi, L., Chung, E. -S., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Buehler, S. A. and Soden, B. J. (2024) Upper tropospheric humidity [in “State of the Climate in 2023”]. In: Blunden, J. and Boyer, T. (eds.) State of the Climate in 2023. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 105 (8). American Meteorological Society, S59-S60. doi: 10.1175/2024BAMSStateoftheClimate.1

Swaminathan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5853-2673, Schewe, J., Walton, J., Zimmermann, K., Jones, C., Betts, R., Burton, C., Jones, C., Mengel, M., Reyer, C., Turner, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Weigel, K. (2024) Regional impacts poorly constrained by climate sensitivity. Earth's Future, 12 (12). e2024EF004901. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: 10.1029/2024EF004901

2023

Dong, B., Bannister, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6846-8297, Chen, Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2319-6937, Fowler, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3650-3948 and Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374 (2023) Simplified Kalman smoother and ensemble Kalman smoother for improving reanalyses. Geoscientific Model Development, 16. pp. 4233-4247. ISSN 1991-9603 doi: 10.5194/gmd-16-4233-2023

John, V. O., Shi, L., Chung, E. S., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Buehler, S. A. and Soden, B. J., Blunden, J., Boyer, T. and Bartow-Gillies, E., eds. (2023) Upper tropospheric humidity. State of the Climate in 2022. 104 (9). Report. American Meteorological Society, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. doi: 10.1175/2023BAMSStateoftheClimate.1 (S55-S56)

Merchant, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850, Embury, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1661-7828, Gentemann, C., Kennedy, J. J., Kent, E. C., Minnett, P. J. and While, J. (2023) Sea surface temperature validation and blended analysis. In: Nalli, N. R. (ed.) Field Measurements for Passive Environmental Remote Sensing. Elsevier, Oxford, pp. 337-350, 436 pages. ISBN 9780128239537 doi: 10.1016/B978-0-12-823953-7.00019-8

2022

Carrassi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0722-5600, Bocquet, M., Demaeyer, J., Grudzien, C., Raanes, P. and Vannitsem, S. (2022) Data Assimilation for Chaotic Dynamics. In: Data Assimilation for Atmospheric, Oceanic and Hydrologic Applications (Vol. IV). Springer International Publishing, pp. 1-42. ISBN 9783030777227 doi: 10.1007/978-3-030-77722-7_1

John, V. O., Shi, L., Chung, E. S., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Buehler, S. A. and Soden, B. J., Blunden, J. and Boyer, T., eds. (2022) Upper Tropospheric Humidity. State of the Climate in 2021. 103 (8). Report. American Meteorological Society, Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society. doi: 10.1175/2022BAMSStateoftheClimate.1 (S54-S55)

Liu, M., Merchant, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850, Embury, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1661-7828, Liu, J., Song, Q. and Guan, L. (2022) Retrieval of sea surface temperature from HY-1B COCTS. IEEE Transactions on Geoscience and Remote Sensing, 60. 5002913. ISSN 0196-2892 doi: 10.1109/TGRS.2022.3190444

2021

Wainwright, C. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7311-7846, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2021) Future changes in wet and dry season characteristics in CMIP5 and CMIP6 simulations. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 22 (9). pp. 2339-2357. ISSN 1525-7541 doi: 10.1175/JHM-D-21-0017.1

2019

John, V. O., Shi, L., Chung, E.-S., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Buehler, S. A. and Soden, B. J. (2019) Upper tropospheric humidity [in "State of the Climate 2018"]. In: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100 (9). American Meteorological Society, pp. 1625-1636. doi: 10.1175/2019BAMSStateoftheClimate.1

Metref, S., Hannart, A., Ruiz, J., Bocquet, M., Carrassi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0722-5600 and Ghil, M. (2019) Estimating model evidence using ensemble‐based data assimilation with localization – the model selection problem. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (721). pp. 1571-1588. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: 10.1002/qj.3513

Morris, P. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8533-8232, Chakraborty, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3134-1946 and Cotter, G. (2019) Deviations from normal distributions in artificial and real time series: a false positive prescription. Monthly Notices of the Royal Astronomical Society, 489 (2). pp. 2117-2129. ISSN 0035-8711 doi: 10.1093/mnras/stz2259

Raanes, P. N., Bocquet, M. and Carrassi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0722-5600 (2019) Adaptive covariance inflation in the ensemble Kalman filter by Gaussian scale mixtures. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 145 (718). pp. 53-75. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: 10.1002/qj.3386

2018

Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Liu, C. (2018) Overview of climate models and tropical extremes. In: Vuruputur, V., Sukhatme, J., Murtugudde, R. and Roca, R. (eds.) Tropical Extremes: Natural Variability and Trends. Elsevier, pp. 139-164. ISBN 9780128092484

John, V. O., Shi, L., Chung, E.-S., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Buehler, S. A. and Soden, B. J. (2018) Upper tropospheric humidity [in "State of the Climate in 2017"]. In: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 99 (8). American Meteorological Society, S27-S28. doi: 10.1175/2018bamsstateoftheclimate.1

2017

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2017) Global energy budget: elusive origin of warming slowdown. Nature Climate Change, 7 (5). pp. 316-317. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/nclimate3282

Chevallier, M., Smith, G. C., Dupont, F., Lemieux, J.-F., Forget, G., Fujii, Y., Hernandez, F., Msadek, R., Peterson, K. A., Storto, A., Toyoda, T., Valdivieso, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1738-7016, Vernieres, G., Zuo, H., Balmaseda, M., Chang, Y.-S., Ferry, N., Garric, G., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374, Keeley, S., Kovach, R. M., Kuragano, T., Masina, S., Tang, Y., Tsujino, H. and Wang, X. (2017) Intercomparison of the Arctic sea ice cover in global ocean–sea ice reanalyses from the ORA-IP project. Climate Dynamics, 49 (3). pp. 1107-1136. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-2985-y

2016

Carrassi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0722-5600 and Vannitsem, S. (2016) Deterministic treatment of model error in geophysical data assimilation. In: Ancona, F., Cannarsa, P., Jones, C. and Portaluri, A. (eds.) Mathematical Paradigms of Climate Science. Springer INdAM Series, 15. Springer, pp. 175-213. doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-39092-5_9

Carrassi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0722-5600, Guemas, V., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Volpi, D. and Asif, M. (2016) Sources of skill in near-term climate prediction: generating initial conditions. Climate Dynamics, 47 (12). pp. 3693-3712. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3036-4

Häusler, M., Silva, J. M. N., Cerasoli, S., Lopez Saldana, G. and Pereira, J. M. C. (2016) Modelling spectral reflectance of open cork oak woodland: a simulation analysis of the effects of vegetation structure and background. International Journal of Remote Sensing, 37 (3). pp. 492-515. ISSN 0143-1161 doi: 10.1080/01431161.2015.1134847

Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 (2016) Correlated observations in data assimilation. In: Mathematical and Algorithmic Aspects of Data Assimilation in the Geosciences. Mathematisches Forschungsinstitut, Oberwolfach Germany, pp. 35-37. doi: 10.4171/OWR/2016/47

Pazó, D., Carrassi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0722-5600 and López, J. M. (2016) Data assimilation by delay-coordinate nudging. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 142 (696). pp. 1290-1299. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: 10.1002/qj.2732

Sobrino, J. A., Jiménez-Muñoz, J. C., Sòria, G., Ruescas, A. B., Danne, O., Brockmann, C., Ghent, D., Remedios, J., North, P., Merchant, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850, Berger, M., Mathieu, P. P. and Göttsche, F.-M. (2016) Synergistic use of MERIS and AATSR as a proxy for estimating Land Surface Temperature from Sentinel-3 data. Remote Sensing of Environment, 179. pp. 149-161. ISSN 0034-4257 doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2016.03.035

2015

Bannister, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6846-8297 (2015) How is the balance of a forecast ensemble affected by adaptive and non-adaptive localization schemes? Monthly Weather Review, 143 (9). pp. 3680-3699. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-14-00379.1

Buehner, M., Gelaro, R., Alves, O., Dee, D., Kalnay, E., Van Leeuwen, P. J., Lorenc, A., Miyoshi, T., Saunders, R. and Schiller, A. (2015) Data assimilation methods and applications. In: Brunet, G., Jones, S. and Ruti, P.M. (eds.) Seamless prediction of the earth system: from minutes to months. World Meteorological Organization. ISBN 9789263111562

Merchant, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850, de Leeuw, G. and Wagner, W. (2015) Selecting algorithms for Earth observation of climate within the European Space Agency Climate Change initiative: introduction to a special issue. Remote Sensing of Environment, 162. pp. 239-241. ISSN 0034-4257 doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2015.02.017

Mitchell, L. and Carrassi, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0722-5600 (2015) Accounting for model error due to unresolved scales within ensemble Kalman filtering. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 141 (689). pp. 1417-1428. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2451

Van Leeuwen, P. J., Cheng, Y. and Reich, S. (2015) Nonlinear data assimilation. Frontiers in Applied Dynamical Systems: Reviews and Tutorials, 2. Springer. ISBN 9783319183466

2014

Burston, R., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Astin, I. and Jayachandran, P. T. (2014) Automated identification and tracking of polar-cap plasma patches at solar minimum. Annales Geophysicae, 32. pp. 197-206. ISSN 1432-0576 doi: 10.5194/angeo-32-197-2014

Clifford, D., Blower, J., Alegre, R., Phipps, R., Bennett, V. and Kershaw, P. (2014) Annotating climate data with commentary: the CHARMe project. In: Big Data from Space (BiDS'14), 2014-11-11, pp. 251-254.

Macdonald, M., Anderson, P., Carrea, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3280-2767, Dobke, B., Embury, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1661-7828, Merchant, C. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850 and Bensi, P. (2014) Concepts for a geostationary-like polar missions. In: Sensors, Systems, and Next-Generation Satellites XVIII, September 22, 2014, Amsterdam, Netherlands. (Proc. SPIE 9241, Sensors, Systems, and Next-Generation Satellites XVIII, 92411B)

Schröder, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2351-4306, Feltham, D. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2289-014X, Flocco, D. and Tsamados, M. (2014) September Arctic sea-ice minimum predicted by spring melt-pond fraction. Nature Climate Change, 4 (5). pp. 353-357. ISSN 1758-6798 doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE2203

Skliris, N., Marsh, R., Josey, S. A., Good, S. A., Liu, C. and Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2014) Salinity changes in the world ocean since 1950 in relation to changing surface freshwater fluxes. Climate Dynamics, 43 (3-4). pp. 709-736. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2131-7

Van Leeuwen, P. (2014) Particle filters for the geosciences. In: Advanced data assimilation for Geosciences : lecture notes of the Les Houches School of Physics: special issue, June 2012. Oxford University Press, Oxford, pp. 291-318. ISBN 9780198723844

Woodage, M. and Woodward, S. (2014) U.K. HiGEM: impacts of desert dust radiative forcing in a high-resolution atmospheric GCM. Journal Of Climate, 27 (15). pp. 5907-5928. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00556.1

Yanase, W., Niino, H., Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X and Kitabatake, N. (2014) Parameter spaces of environmental fields responsible for cyclone development from tropics to extratropics. Journal of Climate, 27 (2). pp. 652-671. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00153.1

2013

Albaladejo, J., Ortiz, R., García-Franco, N., Navarro, A. R., Almagro, M., Garcia-Pintado, J. and Martínez-Mena, M. (2013) Land use and climate change impacts on soil organic carbon stocks in semi-arid Spain. Journal of Soils and Sediments, 13 (2). pp. 265-277. ISSN 1614-7480 doi: 10.1007/s11368-012-0617-7

Clifford, D. and Day, J. (2013) Impact of Northern Hemisphere snow on the Arctic Ocean in a climate model. In: Proceedings of Earth Observation and Cryosphere Science : 13-16 November 2012, Frascati, Italy:. European Space Agency. ISBN 9789292212766

Cripps, E., O’Hagan, A. and Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613 (2013) Quantifying uncertainty in remotely sensed land cover maps. Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment, 27 (5). pp. 1239-1251. ISSN 1436-3240 doi: 10.1007/s00477-012-0660-3

Freitag, M.A., Nichols, N.K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 and Budd, C.J. (2013) Resolution of sharp fronts in the presence of model error in variational data assimilation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 139 (672). pp. 742-757. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2002

John, V. O., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Bell, W., Buehler, S. A. and Kottayil, A. (2013) Assessment of intercalibration methods for satellite microwave humidity sounders. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 118 (10). pp. 4906-4918. ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1002/jgrd.50358

Maidment, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2054-3259, Grimes, D. I. F., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Greatrex, H., Rojas, O. and Leo, O. (2013) Evaluation of satellite-based and model re-analysis rainfall estimates for Uganda. Meteorological Applications, 20 (3). pp. 308-317. ISSN 1469-8080 doi: 10.1002/met.1283

Migliorini, S. (2013) Information-based data selection for ensemble data assimilation. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 139 (677). pp. 2033-2054. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.2104

Moodey, A. J. F., Lawless, A. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568, Potthast, R. W. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6794-2500 and Van Leeuwen, P. J. (2013) Nonlinear error dynamics for cycled data assimilation methods. Inverse Problems, 29 (2). 025002. ISSN 0266-5611 doi: 10.1088/0266-5611/29/2/025002

Rey, J., Martínez, J., Barberá, G.G., García-Aróstegui, J.L., García-Pintado, J. and Martínez-Vicente, D. (2013) Geophysical characterization of the complex dynamics of groundwater and seawater exchange in a highly stressed aquifer system linked to a coastal lagoon (SE Spain). Environmental Earth Sciences, 70 (5). pp. 2271-2282. ISSN 1866-6299 doi: 10.1007/s12665-013-2472-2

Smith, P. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4570-4127, Thornhill, G. D., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Lawless, A. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568, Mason, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081 and Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 (2013) Data assimilation for state and parameter estimation: application to morphodynamic modelling. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 139 (671 Part B). pp. 314-327. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.1944

Thomas, C. D., Anderson, B. J., Moilanen, A., Eigenbrod, F., Heinemeyer, A., Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613, Roy, D. B., Gillings, S., Armsworth, P. R. and Gaston, K. J. (2013) Reconciling biodiversity and carbon conservation. Ecology Letters, 16. pp. 39-47. ISSN 1461-0248 doi: 10.1111/ele.12054 (issue supplement s1)

Zahn, M. and Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2013) Climate warming–related strengthening of the tropical hydrological cycle. Journal of Climate, 26 (2). pp. 562-574. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00222.1

2012

Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2012) Regime dependent changes in global precipitation. Climate Dynamics, 39 (3-4). pp. 827-840. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1134-x

Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2012) The role of water vapour in Earth’s energy flows. Surveys in Geophysics, 33 (3-4). pp. 557-564. ISSN 1573-0956 doi: 10.1007/s10712-011-9157-8 (special issue: Observing and Modeling Earth's Energy Flows)

Bengtsson, L., Koumoutsaris, S., Bonnet, R. -M., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Fröhlich, C., Heintzenberg, J., Ingmann, P., Kandel, R., Loeb, N. G., Soden, B. and Trenberth, K. E. (2012) Observing and Modeling Earth's Energy Flows. Space Sciences Series of ISSI, 41. Springer. ISBN 9789400743267

Ebmeier, S.K., Biggs, J., Mather, T.A., Elliott, J.R., Wadge, G. and Amelung, F. (2012) Measuring large topographic change with InSAR: lava thicknesses, extrusion rate and subsidence rate at Santiaguito volcano, Guatemala. Earth and Planetary Science Letters, 335-336. pp. 216-225. ISSN 0012-821X doi: 10.1016/j.epsl.2012.04.027

Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374, Valdivieso, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1738-7016, Zuo, H. and Stepanov, V. N. (2012) Transports and budgets in a 1/4 ° global ocean reanalysis 1989–2010. Ocean Science, 8 (3). pp. 333-344. ISSN 1812-0784 doi: 10.5194/os-8-333-2012

Hoffmann, A., Clifford, D., Aulinas, J., Carton, J., Deconinck, F., Esen, B., Huesing, J., Kern, K., Kox, S., Krejci, D., Krings, T., Lohrey, S., Romano, P., Topham, R. and Weitnauer, C. (2012) A novel satellite mission concept for upper air water vapour, aerosol and cloud observations using integrated path differential absorption LiDAR limb sounding. Remote Sensing, 4 (4). pp. 867-910. ISSN 2072-4292 doi: 10.3390/rs4040867

Jung, T., Miller, M. J., Palmer, T. N., Powers, P., Wedi, N., Achuthavarier, D., Adams, J. M., Altshuler, E. L., Cash, B. A., Kinter III, J. L., Marx, L., Stan, C. and Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2012) High-resolution global climate simulations with the ECMWF model in Project Athena: experimental design, model climate, and seasonal forecast skill. Journal of Climate, 25 (9). pp. 3155-3172. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00265.1

Lavers, D. A., Villarini, G., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Wood, E. F. and Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350 (2012) The detection of atmospheric rivers in atmospheric reanalyses and their links to British winter floods and the large-scale climatic circulation. Journal of Geophysical Research. Atmospheres, 117 (D20). ISSN 2169-8996 doi: 10.1029/2012JD018027

Loeb, N. G., Lyman, J. M., Johnson, G. C., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Doelling, D. R., Wong, T., Soden, B. J. and Stephens, G. L. (2012) Observed changes in top-of-the-atmosphere radiation and upper-ocean heating consistent within uncertainty. Nature Geoscience, 15. pp. 110-113. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: 10.1038/ngeo1375

Manganello, J. V., Hodges, K. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X, Kinter III, J. L., Cash, B. A., Marx, L., Jung, T., Achuthavarier, D., Adams, J. M., Altshuler, E. L., Huang, B., Jin, E. K., Stan, C., Towers, P. and Wedi, N. (2012) Tropical cyclone climatology in a 10-km global atmospheric GCM: toward weather-resolving climate modeling. Journal of Climate, 25. pp. 3867-3893. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00346.1

Migliorini, S. (2012) On the equivalence between radiance and retrieval assimilation. Monthly Weather Review, 140 (1). pp. 258-265. ISSN 0027-0644 doi: 10.1175/MWR-D-10-05047.1

O’Gorman, P. A., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Byrne, M. P. and Previdi, M. (2012) Energetic constraints on precipitation under climate change. Surveys in Geophysics, 33 (3-4). pp. 585-608. ISSN 1573-0956 doi: 10.1007/s10712-011-9159-6

Pfeifer, M., Disney, M., Quaife, T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6896-4613 and Marchant, R. (2012) Terrestrial ecosystems from space: a review of earth observation products for macroecology applications. Global Ecology and Biogeography, 21 (6). pp. 603-624. ISSN 1466-822X doi: 10.1111/j.1466-8238.2011.00712.x

Schumann, G.J.-P., Bates, P.D., Di Baldassarre, G. and Mason, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081 (2012) The use of radar imagery in riverine flood inundation studies. In: Carbonneau, P. and Piegay, H. (eds.) Fluvial Remote Sensing for Science and Management. Advancing river restoration and management. Wiley-Blackwell, Chichester, pp. 115-140. ISBN 9781119940791 doi: 10.1002/9781119940791.ch6

Stappers, R. J. J. and Barkmeijer, J. (2012) Gaussian quadrature 4D-VAR. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 139 (675). pp. 1465-1472. ISSN 1477-870x doi: 10.1002/qj.2056

Stappers, R. J. J. and Barkmeijer, J. (2012) Optimal linearization trajectories for tangent linear models. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 138 (662). pp. 170-184. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.908

Stepanov, V. N., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374 and Smith, G. C. (2012) Assimilation of RAPID array observations into an ocean model. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 138 (669). pp. 2105-2117. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.1945

Toombs, A. and Wadge, G. (2012) Co-eruptive and inter-eruptive surface deformation measured by satellite radar interferometry at Nyamuragira volcano, D.R. Congo, 1996 to 2010. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 245-246. pp. 98-122. ISSN 0377-0273 doi: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2012.07.005

Williams, C.J.R., Allan, R.P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Kniveton, D.R. (2012) Diagnosing atmosphere–land feedbacks in CMIP5 climate models. Environmental Research Letters, 7 (4). 044003. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/7/4/044003

2011

Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2011) Combining satellite data and models to estimate cloud radiative effect at the surface and in the atmosphere. Meteorological Applications, 18 (3). pp. 324-333. ISSN 1469-8080 (special issue: 'Sensing the weather')

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 (2011) Human influence on rainfall. Nature, 470 (7334). pp. 344-345. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: 10.1038/470344a

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Woodage, M. J., Milton, S. F., Brooks, M. E. and Haywood, J. M. (2011) Examination of long-wave radiative bias in general circulation models over North Africa during May–July. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (658). pp. 1179-1192. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.717

Allan, R.P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Zveryaev, I.I. (2011) Variability in the summer season hydrological cycle over the Atlantic-Europe region 1979-2007. International Journal of Climatology, 31 (3). pp. 337-348. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.2070

Bannister, R. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6846-8297 (2011) Issues in the assimilation of the sources of a trace gas by inverse modelling. Computers & Fluids, 46 (1). pp. 106-112. ISSN 0045-7930 doi: 10.1016/j.compfluid.2010.11.017

Boess, C., Lawless, A. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568, Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 and Bunse-Gerstner, A. (2011) State estimation using model order reduction for unstable systems. Computers & Fluids, 46 (1). pp. 155-160. ISSN 0045-7930 doi: 10.1016/j.compfluid.2010.11.033

Fox, N., Kaiser-Weiss, A., Schmutz, W., Thome, K., Young, D., Wielicki, B., Winkler, R. and Woolliams, E. (2011) Accurate radiometry from space: an essential tool for climate studies. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 369 (1953). pp. 4028-4063. ISSN 1471-2962 doi: 10.1098/rsta.2011.0246

Haben, S. A., Lawless, A. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568 and Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 (2011) Conditioning and preconditioning of the variational data assimilation problem. Computers & Fluids, 46 (1). pp. 252-256. ISSN 0045-7930 doi: 10.1016/j.compfluid.2010.11.025

Haben, S. A., Lawless, A. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568 and Nichols, N. K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1133-5220 (2011) Conditioning of incremental variational data assimilation, with application to the Met Office system. Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 63 (4). pp. 782-792. ISSN 1600-0870 doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2011.00527.x

Haywood, J. M., Johnson, B. T., Osborne, S. R., Baran, A. J., Brooks, M., Milton, S. F., Mulcahy, J., Walters, D., Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Klaver, A., Formenti, P., Brindley, H. E., Christopher, S. and Gupta, P. (2011) Motivation, rationale and key results from the GERBILS Saharan dust measurement campaign. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 137 (658). pp. 1106-1116. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.797

Kaiser-Weiss, A. K. and Migliorini, G. (2011) Quasi-optimal assimilation of satellite retrievals for incremental 4D-Var. Computers & Fluids, 46 (1). pp. 287-292. ISSN 0045-7930 doi: 10.1016/j.compfluid.2010.11.016

Lavers, D., Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Wood, E. F., Villarini, G., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350 (2011) Winter floods in Britain are connected to atmospheric rivers. Geophysical Research Letters, 38 (23). L23803. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2011GL049783

Neal, J., Schumann, G., Fewtrell, T., Budimir, M., Bates, P. and Mason, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081 (2011) Evaluating a new LISFLOOD-FP formulation with data from the summer 2007 floods in Tewkesbury, UK. Journal of Flood Risk Management, 4 (2). pp. 88-95. ISSN 1753-318X doi: 10.1111/j.1753-318X.2011.01093.x

Pocock, J. A., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338 and Lawless, A. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3016-6568 (2011) State estimation using the particle filter with mode tracking. Computers & Fluids, 46 (1). pp. 392-397. ISSN 0045-7930 doi: 10.1016/j.compfluid.2011.02.009

Rennie, S. J., Dance, S. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1690-3338, Illingworth, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5774-8410, Ballard, S. P. and Simonin, D. (2011) 3D-Var assimilation of insect-derived Doppler radar radial winds in convective cases using a high resolution model. Monthly Weather Review, 139 (4). pp. 1148-1163. ISSN 1520-0493 doi: 10.1175/2010MWR3482.1

Sandells, M., Nelson, S. and Hollingham, R. (2011) The Earth's magnetic field, snow, and Chernobyl. [Audio]

Scaife, A. A., Copsey, D., Gordon, C., Harris, C., Hinton, T., Keeley, S., O'Neill, A., Roberts, M. and Williams, K. (2011) Improved Atlantic winter blocking in a climate model. Geophysical Research Letters, 38 (23). L23703. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2011GL049573

Schumann, G. J.-P., Neal, J. C., Mason, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081 and Bates, P. D. (2011) The accuracy of sequential aerial photography and SAR data for observing urban flood dynamics, a case study of the UK summer 2007 floods. Remote Sensing of Environment, 115 (10). pp. 2536-2546. ISSN 0034-4257 doi: 10.1016/j.rse.2011.04.039

Stappers, R. J. J. and Barkmeijer, J. (2011) Properties of singular vectors using convective available potential energy as final time norm. Tellus Series A: Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, 63 (3). pp. 373-384. ISSN 0280-6495 doi: 10.1111/j.1600-0870.2010.00501.x

2010

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447 and Liepert, B. G. (2010) Anticipated changes in the global atmospheric water cycle. Environmental Research Letters, 5 (2). 025201. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025201

Allan, R. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Soden, B. J., John, V. O., Ingram, W. and Good, P. (2010) Current changes in tropical precipitation. Environmental Research Letters, 5 (2). 025205. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/025205

Bannister, R. N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6846-8297 (2010) The role of balance in data assimilation. In: Fitt, A. D., Norbury, J., Ockendon, H. and Wilson, E. (eds.) Progress in Industrial Mathematics at ECMI 2008. Mathematics in Industry (15). Springer, pp. 393-399. ISBN 9783642121098

Froude, L. S. R. (2010) TIGGE: Comparison of the prediction of northern hemisphere extratropical cyclones by different ensemble prediction systems. Weather and Forecasting, 25. pp. 819-836. ISSN 0882-8156 doi: 10.1175/2010WAF2222326.1

Harrison, R. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0693-347X, Nicoll, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5580-6325, Ulanowski, Z. J. and Mather, T. (2010) Self-charging of the Eyjafjallajökull volcanic ash plume. Environmental Research Letters, 5 (2). 024004. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/5/2/024004

Komorowski, J.-C., Legendre, Y., Christopher, T., Bernstein, M., Stewart, R., Joseph, E., Fournier, N., Chardot, L., Finizola, A., Wadge, G., Syers, R., Williams, C. and Bass, V. (2010) Insights into processes and deposits of hazardous vulcanian explosions at Soufrière Hills Volcano during 2008 and 2009 (Montserrat, West Indies). Geophysical Research Letters, 37. L00E19. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2010GL042558

Neal, J. C., Schumann, G. J.-P., Bates, P. D. and Mason, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081 (2010) Estimating discharge from inundation imagery. In: American Geophysical Union (Fall Meeting), 13-17 December 2010, San Francisco. (Unpublished)

Ryan, G. A., Loughlin, S. C., James, M. R., Jones, L. D., Calder, E. S., Christopher, T., Strutt, M. H. and Wadge, G. (2010) Growth of the lava dome and extrusion rates at Soufrière Hills Volcano, Montserrat, West Indies: 2005–2008. Geophysical Research Letters, 37. L00E08. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2009GL041477

Sandells, M., Flerchinger, G., Gurney, R. and Marks, D. (2010) Physics-based modelling for remote sensing of snow. In: British Hydrological Society Third International Symposium: Role of Hydrology in Managing Consequences of a Changing Global Environment, 19-23 July 2010, Newcastle University, UK.

Wadge, G. (2010) Assessing the pyroclastic flow hazards from dome collapse at Soufriere Hills Volcano, Montserrat. In: Thordarson, T., Self, S., Rowlands, S. and Hoskuldsson, A. (eds.) Studies in Volcanology: the Legacy of George Walker. IAVCEI Publications, IAVCEI 2. Geological Society London/ IAVCEI, London, pp. 211-224. ISBN 9781862392809

2009

Hale, A.J., Calder, E.S., Loughlin, S.C., Wadge, G. and Ryan, G.A. (2009) Modelling the lava dome extruded at Soufrière Hills Volcano, Montserrat, August 2005–May 2006. Part II: Rockfall activity and talus deformation. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 187 (1-2). pp. 69-84. ISSN 0377-0273 doi: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2009.08.014

Hale, A.J., Calder, E.S., Wadge, G., Loughlin, S.C. and Ryan, G.A. (2009) Modelling the lava dome extruded at Soufrière Hills Volcano, Montserrat, August 2005–May 2006. Part I: Dome shape and internal structure. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 187 (1-2). pp. 53-68. ISSN 0377-0273 doi: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2009.08.023

Odbert, H.M. and Wadge, G. (2009) Time series analysis of lava flux. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research, 188 (4). pp. 305-314. ISSN 0377-0273 doi: 10.1016/j.jvolgeores.2009.09.005

Smith, G. and Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374 (2009) Evaluation of the S(T) assimilation method with the Argo dataset. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 135 (640). pp. 739-756. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1002/qj.395

Wadge, G., Aspinall, W. and Barclay, J., (2009) Risk-based policy support for volcanic hazard mitigation. Project Report. Foreign and Commonwealth Office (Unpublished)

Wadge, G., Ryan, G. and Calder, E.S. (2009) Clastic and core lava components of a silicic lava dome. Geology, 37 (6). pp. 551-554. ISSN 0091-7613 doi: 10.1130/G25747A.1

2008

Ager, G., Wadge, G., Tragheim, D. and Jordan, C., (2008) Volcanic eruption of 29th July 2008 on the island of Montserrat. Technical Report. British Geological Survey pp48.

2004

Elliott, L. J., Mason, D. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6092-6081, Wilkinson, M. J., Allainguillame, J., Norris, C., Alexander, M. and Welters, R. (2004) The role of satellite image-processing for national-scale estimates of gene flow from genetically modified crops: rapeseed in the UK as a model. Journal of Applied Ecology, 41 (6). pp. 1174-1184. ISSN 0021-8901 doi: 10.1111/j.0021-8901.2004.00963.x

Keesman, K. J. and Stappers, R. (2004) Nonlinear set-membership estimation: a support vector machine approach. Journal of inverse and ill-posed problems, 12 (1). pp. 27-42. ISSN 1569-3945 doi: 10.1515/156939404773972752