Items where Author is "Brayshaw, Professor David"

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Number of items: 63.

Article

Hutchins, B. W., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Shaffrey, L. C., Thornton, H. E. and Smith, D. M. (2025) Decadal prediction for the European energy sector. Meteorological Applications, 32 (3). e70054. ISSN 1350-4827 doi: 10.1002/met.70054

Fallon, J., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Jensen, K. and Krug, L. (2023) A new framework for using weather‐sensitive surplus power reserves in critical infrastructure. Meteorological Applications, 30 (6). e2158. ISSN 1350-4827 doi: 10.1002/met.2158

Sundar, S., Craig, M. T., Payne, A. E., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Lehner, F. (2023) Meteorological drivers of resource adequacy failures in current and high renewable Western U.S. power systems. Nature Communications, 14 (1). 6379. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: 10.1038/s41467-023-41875-6

Bett, P. E., Thornton, H. E., Troccoli, A., De Felice, M., Suckling, E., Dubus, L., Saint-Drenan, Y.-M. and Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2022) A simplified seasonal forecasting strategy, applied to wind and solar power in Europe. Climate Services, 27. 100318. ISSN 2405-8807 doi: 10.1016/j.cliser.2022.100318

Craig, M. T., Wohland, J., Stoop, L. P., Kies, A., Pickering, B., Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Browell, J., De Felice, M., Dent, C. J., Deroubaix, A., Frischmuth, F., Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087, Grochowitz, A., Gruber, K., Härtel, P., Kittel, M., Kotzur, L., Labuhn, I., Lundquist, J. K., Pflugradt, N., van der Wiel, K., Zeyringer, M. and Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2022) Overcoming the disconnect between energy system and climate modelling. Joule, 6 (7). pp. 1405-1417. ISSN 2542-4351 doi: 10.1016/j.joule.2022.05.010

Domeisen, D. I.V., White, C. J., Afargan-Gerstman, H., Munoz, A. G., Jaiga, M. A., Vitart, F., Wulff, C. O., Antoine, S., Ardilouze, C., Batte, L., Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Camargo, S. J., Charlton-Perez, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8179-6220, Collins, D., Cowan, T., del Mar Chaves, M., Ferranti, L., Gomez, R., Gonzalez, P. L. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0154-0087, Gonzalez Romero, C., Infanti, J. M., Karozis, S., Kim, H., Kolstad, E. W., LaJoie, E., Lledo, L., Magnusson, L., Malguzzi, P., Manrique-Sunen, A., Mastrangelo, D., Materia, S., Medina, H., Palma, L., Pineda, L. E., Sfetsos, A., Son, S.-W., Soret, A., Strazzo, S. and Tian, D. (2022) Advances in the subseasonal prediction of extreme events: relevant case studies across the globe. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 103 (6). pp. 1473-1501. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0221.1

Schuhen, N., Schaller, N., Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Lledó, L., Cionni, I. and Sillmann, J. (2022) Predictive skill of teleconnection patterns in twentieth century seasonal hindcasts and their relationship to extreme winter temperatures in Europe. Geophysical Research Letters, 49 (11). e2020GL092360. ISSN 1944-8007 doi: 10.1029/2020GL092360

Hilbers, A., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Gandy, A. (2021) Efficient quantification of the impact of demand and weather uncertainty in power system models. IEEE Transactions on Power Systems, 36 (3). pp. 1771-1779. ISSN 0885-8950 doi: 10.1109/TPWRS.2020.3031187

Coker, P. J., Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Drew, D. R. and Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2020) Interannual weather variability and the challenges for Great Britain’s electricity market design. Renewable Energy, 150. pp. 509-522. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: 10.1016/j.renene.2019.12.082

Wolf, G., Czaja, A., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Klingaman, N. P. (2020) Connection between sea surface anomalies and atmospheric quasi-stationary waves. Journal of Climate, 33 (1). pp. 201-212. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0751.1

Hilbers, A. P., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Gandy, A. (2019) Importance subsampling: improving power system planning under climate-based uncertainty. Applied Energy, 251. 113114. ISSN 0306-2619 doi: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.04.110

Drew, D. R., Coker, P. J., Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Barlow, J. F. and Richards, A. (2019) Sunny windy Sundays. Renewable Energy, 138. pp. 870-875. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: 10.1016/j.renene.2019.02.029

Cannon, D., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 and Drew, D. (2017) Determining the bounds of skilful forecast range for probabilistic prediction of system-wide wind power generation. Meteorologische Zeitschrift, 26 (3). pp. 239-252. ISSN 0941-2948 doi: 10.1127/metz/2016/0751

Zappa, G., Hawcroft, M. K., Shaffrey, L., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2015) Extratropical cyclones and the projected decline of winter Mediterranean precipitation in the CMIP5 models. Climate Dynamics, 45 (7-8). pp. 1727-1738. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2426-8

Dunning, C. M., Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 and Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2015) The impact of monsoon intraseasonal variability on renewable power generation in India. Environmental Research Letters, 10 (6). 064002. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/6/064002

Cannon, D.J., Brayshaw, D.J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872, Coker, P.J. and Lenaghan, D. (2015) Using reanalysis data to quantify extreme wind power generation statistics: a 33 year case study in Great Britain. Renewable Energy, 75. pp. 767-778. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: 10.1016/j.renene.2014.10.024

Drew, D., Cannon, D., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Barlow, J. and Coker, P. (2015) The impact of future offshore wind farms on wind power generation in Great Britain. Resources, 4 (1). pp. 155-171. ISSN 2079-9276 doi: 10.3390/resources4010155

Kubik, M. L., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Coker, P. J. and Barlow, J. F. (2013) Exploring the role of reanalysis data in simulating regional wind generation variability over Northern Ireland. Renewable Energy, 57. pp. 558-561. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: 10.1016/j.renene.2013.02.012

Saulière, J., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Hoskins, B. and Blackburn, M. (2012) Further investigation of the impact of idealised continents and SST distributions on the Northern Hemisphere storm tracks. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 69 (3). pp. 840-856. ISSN 0022-4928 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-11-0113.1

Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Smith, S. J., Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Holmes, P.A.C., El-Bastawesy, M., Rambeau, C. M. C. and Mithen, S. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 (2012) A new method for the determination of Holocene palaeohydrology. Journal of Hydrology, 420-421. pp. 1-16. ISSN 0022-1694 doi: 10.1016/j.jhydrol.2011.10.033

Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Dent, C. and Zachary, S. (2012) Wind generation's contribution to supporting peak electricity demand: meteorological insights. Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability, 226 (1). pp. 44-50. ISSN 1748-0078 doi: 10.1177/1748006X11417503

Woollings, T., Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Pinto, J. G., Reyers, M. and Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2012) Response of the North Atlantic storm track to climate change shaped by ocean–atmosphere coupling. Nature Geoscience, 5 (5). pp. 313-317. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: 10.1038/ngeo1438

Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Hoskins, B. and Blackburn, M. (2011) The basic ingredients of the North Atlantic Storm Track. Part II: Sea surface temperatures. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 68 (8). pp. 1784-1805. ISSN 0022-4928 doi: 10.1175/2011JAS3674.1

Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Troccoli, A., Fordham, R. and Methven, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7636-6872 (2011) The impact of large scale atmospheric circulation patterns on wind power generation and its potential predictability: a case study over the UK. Renewable Energy, 36 (8). pp. 2087-2096. ISSN 0960-1481 doi: 10.1016/j.renene.2011.01.025

Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Rambeau, C. M. C. and Smith, S. J. (2011) Changes in the Mediterranean climate during the Holocene: insights from global and regional climate modelling. Holocene, 21 (1). pp. 15-31. ISSN 0959-6836 doi: 10.1177/0959683610377528

Roberts, N., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Kuzucuoğlu, C., Perez, R. and Sadori, L. (2011) The mid-Holocene climatic transition in the Mediterranean: causes and consequences. The Holocene, 21 (1). pp. 3-13. ISSN 0959-6836 doi: 10.1177/0959683610388058

Lavers, D., Allan, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0264-9447, Wood, E. F., Villarini, G., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350 (2011) Winter floods in Britain are connected to atmospheric rivers. Geophysical Research Letters, 38 (23). L23803. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2011GL049783

Wade, A. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, El-Bastawesy, M., Holmes, P. A. C., Butterfield, D., Nuimat, S. and Jamjoum, K. (2010) A model-based assessment of the effects of projected climate change on the water resources of Jordan. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society. Part A, 368 (1931). pp. 5151-5172. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2010.0207

Black, E. C. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Rambeau, C. M. C. (2010) Past, present and future precipitation in the Middle East: insights from models and observations. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 368 (1931). pp. 5173-5184. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2010.0199

Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Hoskins, B. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2010) Some physical drivers of changes in the winter storm tracks over the North Atlantic and Mediterranean during the Holocene. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 368 (1931). pp. 5185-5223. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2010.0180

Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Hoskins, B. J. and Blackburn, M. (2009) The basic ingredients of the North Atlantic storm track. Part I: land-sea contrast and orography. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 66 (9). pp. 2539-2558. ISSN 0022-4928 doi: 10.1175/2009JAS3078.1

Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Woollings, T. J. and Vellinga, M. (2009) Tropical and extratropical responses of the North Atlantic atmospheric circulation to a sustained weakening of the MOC. Journal of Climate, 22 (11). pp. 3146-3155. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2008JCLI2594.1

Book or Report Section

Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2018) Weather, climate and the nature of predictability. In: Weather & Climate Services for the Energy Industry:. Palgrave Pivot, Basingstoke, pp. 85-95. ISBN 9783319684178 doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-68418-5_6

Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2018) The nature of weather and climate impacts in the energy sector. In: Weather & Climate Services for the Energy Industry:. Palgrave Pivot, Basingstoke, pp. 151-160. ISBN 9783319684178 doi: 10.1007/978-3-319-68418-5_11

Abrantes, F., Voelker, A. (H. L.), Sierro, F. J., Naughton, F., Rodrigues, T., Cacho, I., Ariztegui, D., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Sicre, M.-A. and Batista, L. (2012) Paleoclimate variability in the Mediterranean region. In: Lionello, P. (ed.) The Climate of the Mediterranean Region. Elsevier, London, pp. 1-86. ISBN 9780124160422 doi: 10.1016/B978-0-12-416042-2.00001-X

Abrantes, F., Voelker, A. (H. L.), Sierro, F. J., Naughton, F., Rodrigues, T., Cacho, I., Ariztegui, D., Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Sicre, M.-A. and Batista, L. (2012) Paleoclimate variability in the Mediterranean region. In: Lionello, P. (ed.) The Climate of the Mediterranean Region:. Elsevier, London, pp. 1-86. ISBN 9780124160422 doi: 10.1016/B978-0-12-416042-2.00001-X

Smith, S., Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Rambeau, C. and Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 (2011) From global climate change to local impact in Wadi Faynan, southern Jordan: ten millennia of human settlement in its hydrological context. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 218-244. ISBN 9780521769570

Smith, S., Wade, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5296-8350, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Rambeau, C. and Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 (2011) From global climate change to local impact in Wadi Faynan, southern Jordan: ten millennia of human settlement in its hydrological context. In: Mithen, S. and Black, E. (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley:. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 218-244. ISBN 9780521769570

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Slingo, J. and Hoskins, B. (2011) Future climate of the Middle East. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 51-62. ISBN 9780521769570

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Slingo, J. and Hoskins, B. (2011) Future climate of the Middle East. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443, Mithen, S. and Black, E. (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley:. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 51-62. ISBN 9780521769570

Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Hoskins, B. and Slingo, J. (2011) Past climates of the Middle East. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 25-50. ISBN 9780521769570

Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Hoskins, B. and Slingo, J. (2011) Past climates of the Middle East. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443, Mithen, S. and Black, E. (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley:. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 25-50. ISBN 9780521769570

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Black, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1396-4821 and Rambeau, C. (2011) Using proxy data, historical climate data and climate models to investigate aridification during the Holocene. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 105-112. ISBN 9780521769570

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362, Black, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1396-4821 and Rambeau, C. (2011) Using proxy data, historical climate data and climate models to investigate aridification during the Holocene. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443, Mithen, S. and Black, E. (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley:. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 105-112. ISBN 9780521769570

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Hoskins, B., Slingo, J. and Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2011) The present-day climate of the Middle East. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443 and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 13-24. ISBN 9780521769570

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Hoskins, B., Slingo, J. and Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2011) The present-day climate of the Middle East. In: Mithen, S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3391-7443, Mithen, S. and Black, E. (eds.) Water, Life and Civilisation: Climate, Environment and Society in the Jordan Valley:. International Hydrology Series. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, pp. 13-24. ISBN 9780521769570

Report

Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503, (2021) Meteorological information to support the transition to clean energy. Open Research Case Studies. Report. University of Reading doi: 10.48683/1926.00100590

Conference or Workshop Item

Greenwood, D. M., Deakin, M., Ilias, S., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Bloomfield, H. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503 (2022) Capacity value of interconnectors for resource adequacy assessment in multi-region systems. In: 17th International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS), 2022-06-12 - 2022-06-15, Online. doi: 10.1109/PMAPS53380.2022.9810649

Deakin, M., Greenwood, D., Brayshaw, D. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 and Bloomfield, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5616-1503 (2022) Comparing generator unavailability models with empirical distributions from Open Energy datasets. In: 17th International Conference on Probabilistic Methods Applied to Power Systems (PMAPS), 2022-06-12 - 2022-06-15, Online. doi: 10.1109/PMAPS53380.2022.9810629

Zachary, S., Dent, C. J. and Brayshaw, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3927-4362 (2011) Challenges in quantifying wind generation's contribution to securing peak demand. In: Power and Energy Society General Meeting, 2011 IEEE, 24-29 July 2011, San DIego, CA, USA, pp. 1-8.

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