Items where Author is "Robson, Professor Jon"

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Marcos, M., Agulles, M., Amores, A., Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2025) Constraining extreme storm surges along the European coasts from a large ensemble of climate models. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 130 (12). e2025JC022863. ISSN 2169-9275 doi: 10.1029/2025JC022863

Marcos, M., Amores, A., Agulles, M., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Feng, X. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4143-107X (2025) Global warming drives a threefold increase in persistence and 1°C rise in intensity of marine heatwaves. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 122 (16). e2413505122. ISSN 1091-6490 doi: 10.1073/pnas.2413505122

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Aksenov, Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Colfescu, I., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Hirschi, J., Josey, S., Lu, H., Mecking, J., Oltmanns, M., Osprey, S., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Rynders, S., Shaffrey, L., Sinha, B., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Weisheimer, A. (2025) Key drivers of large scale changes in North Atlantic atmospheric and oceanic circulations and their predictability. Climate Dynamics, 63. 113. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-025-07591-1

Kim, W. M., Ruprich-Robert, Y., Zhao, A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8300-5872, Yeager, S. and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2024) North Atlantic response to observed North Atlantic oscillation surface heat flux in three climate models. Journal of Climate, 37 (5). pp. 1777-1796. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-23-0301.1

Zhang, M., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Schiemann, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3095-9856 and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2024) Summer compound heatwaves over China: projected changes at different global warming levels and related physical processes. Climate Dynamics, 62. pp. 1887-1907. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-023-07001-4 (Zhang, M., Dong, B., Schiemann, R. et al. Summer compound heatwaves over China: projected changes at different global warming levels and related physical processes. Clim Dyn (2023). https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-07001-4)

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ndiaye, C. D., Song, C. and Turner, A. G. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0642-6876 (2023) CMIP6 skill at predicting interannual to multi-decadal summer monsoon precipitation variability. Environmental Research Letters, 18 (9). 094002. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/acea96

Dimdore-Miles, O., Gray, L., Osprey, S., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Sinha, B. (2022) Interactions between the stratospheric polar vortex and Atlantic circulation on seasonal to multi-decadal timescales. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 22 (7). pp. 4867-4893. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-22-4867-2022

Jackson, L. C., Biastoch, A., Buckley, M. W., Desbruyères, D. G., Frajka-Williams, E., Moat, B. and Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X (2022) The evolution of the North Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation since 1980. Nature Reviews Earth and Environment, 3. pp. 241-254. ISSN 2662-138X doi: 10.1038/s43017-022-00263-2

Ruprich-Robert, Y., Moreno-Chamarro, E., Levine, X., Bellucci, A., Cassou, C., Castruccio, F., Davini, P., Eade, R., Gastineau, G., Hermanson, L., Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Lohmann, K., Lopez-Parages, J., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Nicoli, D., Qasmi, S., Roberts, C. D., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Danabasoglu, G., Dunstone, N., Martin-Rey, M., Msadek, R., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Smith, D. and Tourigny, E. (2021) Impacts of Atlantic multidecadal variability on the tropical Pacific: a multi-model study. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 4 (1). 33. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: 10.1038/s41612-021-00188-5

Ortega, P., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Menary, M., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Blaker, A., Germe, A., Hirschi, J. J.-M., Sinha, B., Hermanson, L. and Yeager, S. (2021) Labrador Sea subsurface density as a precursor of multidecadal variability in the North Atlantic: a multi-model study. Earth System Dynamics, 12 (2). pp. 419-438. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: 10.5194/esd-12-419-2021

Sinha, B., Sévellec, F., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Nurser, G. (2020) Surging of global surface temperature due to decadal legacy of ocean heat uptake. Journal of Climate, 33 (18). pp. 8025-8045. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0874.1

Smith, D. M., Scaife, A. A., Eade, R., Athanasiadis, P., Bellucci, A., Bethke, I., Bilbao, R., Borchert, L. F., Caron, L.-P., Counillon, F., Danabasoglu, G., Delworth, T., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Dunstone, N. J., Estella-Perez, V., Flavoni, S., Hermanson, L., Keenlyside, N., Kharin, V., Kimoto, M., Merryfield, W. J., Mignot, J., Mochizuki, T., Modali, K., Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Müller, W. A., Nicoli, D., Ortega, P., Pankatz, K., Pohlmann, H., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ruggieri, P., Sospedra-Alfonso, R., Swingedouw, D., Wang, Y., Wild, S., Yeager, S., Yang, X. and Zhang, L. (2020) North Atlantic climate far more predictable than models imply. Nature, 583. 7818. ISSN 0028-0836 doi: 10.1038/s41586-020-2525-0

Jackson, L. C., Dubois, C., Forget, G., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374, Harrison, M., Iovino, D., Kӧhl, A., Mignac, D., Masina, S., Peterson, K. A., Piecuch, C. G., Roberts, C., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Storto, A., Toyoda, T., Valdivieso, M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1738-7016, Wilson, C., Wang, Y. and Zuo, H. (2019) The mean state and variability of the North Atlantic circulation: a perspective from ocean reanalyses. Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans, 124 (12). pp. 9141-9170. ISSN 2169-9275 doi: 10.1029/2019JC015210

Moat, B. I., Sinha, B., Josey, S. A., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ortega, P., Sévellec, F., Holliday, N. P., McCarthy, G. D., New, A. L. and Hirschi, J. J.-M. (2019) Insights into decadal North Atlantic sea surface temperature and ocean heat content variability from an eddy-permitting coupled climate model. Journal of Climate, 32 (18). pp. 6137-6161. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-18-0709.1

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Dieppois, B., Pohl, B. and Dunstone, N. (2019) Predicting the seasonal evolution of southern African summer precipitation in the DePreSys3 prediction system. Climate Dynamics, 52 (11). pp. 6491-6510. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4526-3

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 and Klingaman, N. P. (2019) Effect of the Atlantic Multidecadal Variability on the global monsoon. Geophysical Research Letters, 46 (3). pp. 1765-1775. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2018GL080903

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Archibald, A., Cooper, F., Christensen, M., Gray, L. J., Holliday, N. P., Macintosh, C., McMillan, M., Moat, B., Russo, M., Tilling, R., Carslaw, K., Desbruyères, D., Embury, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1661-7828, Feltham, D. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2289-014X, Grosvenor, D. P., Josey, S., King, B., Lewis, A., McCarthy, G. D., Merchant, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850, New, A. L., O'Reilly, C. H., Osprey, S. M., Read, K., Scaife, A., Shepherd, A., Sinha, B., Smeed, D., Smith, D., Ridout, A., Woollings, T. and Yang, M. (2018) Recent multivariate changes in the North Atlantic climate system, with a focus on 2005-2016. International Journal of Climatology, 38 (12). pp. 5050-5076. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.5815

Tian, F., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2018) Forced decadal changes in the East Asian summer monsoon: the roles of greenhouse gases and anthropogenic aerosols. Climate Dynamics, 51 (9-10). pp. 3699-3715. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4105-7

Monerie, P.-A. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5304-9559, Sanchez-Gomez, E., Pohl, B., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2017) Impact of internal variability on projections of Sahel precipitation change. Environmental Research Letters, 12 (11). 114003. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa8cda

Shaffrey, L. C., Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Stevens, D. P., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Polo, I., Stevens, I., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Lister, G., Iwi, A., Smith, D. and Stephens, A. (2017) Decadal predictions with the HiGEM high resolution global coupled climate model: description and basic evaluation. Climate Dynamics, 48 (1). pp. 297-311. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3075-x

Zhang, R., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Danabasoglu, G., Delworth, T. L., Kim, W. M., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Yeager, S. G. (2016) Comment on “The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation without a role for ocean circulation”. Science, 352 (6293). p. 1527. ISSN 1095-9203 doi: 10.1126/science.aaf1660

Zhang, R., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Danabasoglu, G., Delworth, T. L., Kim, W. M., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Yeager, S. G. (2016) Comment on “The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation without a role for ocean circulation”. Science, 352 (6293). p. 1527. ISSN 0036-8075 doi: 10.1126/science.aaf1660

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ortega, P. and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2016) A reversal of climatic trends in the North Atlantic since 2005. Nature Geoscience, 9 (7). pp. 513-517. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: 10.1038/ngeo2727

Menary, M. B., Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Wood, R. A. (2015) A mechanism of internal decadal atlantic ocean variability in a high-resolution coupled climate model. Journal of Climate, 28 (19). pp. 7764-7785. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0106.1

Menary, M. B., Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Wood, R. A. and Hunt, J. A. (2015) Exploring the impact of CMIP5 model biases on the simulation of North Atlantic decadal variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (14). pp. 5926-5934. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2015GL064360

Polo, I., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Balmaseda, M. A. (2014) The importance of wind and buoyancy forcing for the boundary density variations and the geostrophic component of the AMOC at 26°N. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 44 (9). pp. 2387-2408. ISSN 0022-3670 doi: 10.1175/JPO-D-13-0264.1

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Smith, D. (2014) Decadal predictions of the cooling and freshening of the North Atlantic in the 1960s and the role of ocean circulation. Climate Dynamics, 42 (9-10). pp. 2353-2365. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2115-7

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Smith, D. (2013) Predictable climate impacts of the decadal changes in the ocean in the 1990s. Journal of Climate, 26 (17). pp. 6329-6339. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00827.1

Zhang, R., Delworth, T. L., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Dixon, K. W., Held, I. M., Kushnir, Y., Marshall, J., Ming, Y., Msadek, R., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Rosati, A. J., Ting, M. and Vecchi, G. A. (2013) Have aerosols caused the observed Atlantic multidecadal variability? Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 70 (4). pp. 1135-1144. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0331.1

Zhang, R., Delworth, T. L., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Dixon, K. W., Held, I. M., Kushnir, Y., Marshall, J., Ming, Y., Msadek, R., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Rosati, A. J., Ting, M. and Vecchi, G. A. (2013) Have aerosols caused the observed Atlantic multidecadal variability? Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 70 (4). pp. 1135-1144. ISSN 0022-4928 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0331.1

Vecchi, G. A., Msadek, R., Delworth, T. L., Dixon, K. W., Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Karspeck, A. R., Mignot, J., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Rosati, A. and Zhang, R. (2012) Comment on “Multiyear prediction of monthly mean Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5°N”. Science, 338 (6107). p. 604. ISSN 1095-9203 doi: 10.1126/science.1222566

Vecchi, G. A., Msadek, R., Delworth, T. L., Dixon, K. W., Guilyardi, E., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Karspeck, A. R., Mignot, J., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Rosati, A. and Zhang, R. (2012) Comment on “Multiyear prediction of monthly mean Atlantic meridional overturning circulation at 26.5°N”. Science, 338 (6107). p. 604. ISSN 0036-8075 doi: 10.1126/science.1222566

Robson, J.I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R.T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Smith, D.M. (2012) Initialized decadal predictions of the rapid warming of the North Atlantic Ocean in the mid 1990s. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (L19713). ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2012GL053370

Robson, J.I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R.T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Smith, D.M. (2012) Initialized decadal predictions of the rapid warming of the North Atlantic Ocean in the mid 1990s. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (L19713). ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2012GL053370

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Lohmann, K., Smith, D. and Palmer, M. D. (2012) Causes of the rapid warming of the North Atlantic ocean in the mid-1990s. Journal of Climate, 25 (12). pp. 4116-4134. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00443.1

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Lohmann, K., Smith, D. and Palmer, M. D. (2012) Causes of the rapid warming of the North Atlantic ocean in the mid-1990s. Journal of Climate, 25 (12). pp. 4116-4134. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00443.1

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Smith, D. and Keenlyside, N. (2011) Evaluating the potential for statistical decadal predictions of sea surface temperatures with a perfect model approach. Climate Dynamics, 37 (11-12). pp. 2495-2509. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1023-3

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Smith, D. and Keenlyside, N. (2011) Evaluating the potential for statistical decadal predictions of sea surface temperatures with a perfect model approach. Climate Dynamics, 37 (11-12). pp. 2495-2509. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1023-3

Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Gohar, L. K., Hurley, M. D., Shine, K. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2672-9978 and Wallington, T. J. (2006) Revised IR spectrum, radiative efficiency and global warming potential of nitrogen trifluoride. Geophysical Research Letters, 33 (10). doi: 10.1029/2006GL026210

Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Gohar, L. K., Hurley, M. D., Shine, K. P. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2672-9978 and Wallington, T. J. (2006) Revised IR spectrum, radiative efficiency and global warming potential of nitrogen trifluoride. Geophysical Research Letters, 33 (10). ISSN 1944-8007 doi: 10.1029/2006GL026210

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