Items where Author is "Sutton, Professor Rowan"

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Number of items: 147.

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Aksenov, Y. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Colfescu, I., Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181, Hirschi, J., Josey, S., Lu, H., Mecking, J., Oltmanns, M., Osprey, S., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Rynders, S., Shaffrey, L., Sinha, B., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Weisheimer, A. (2025) Key drivers of large scale changes in North Atlantic atmospheric and oceanic circulations and their predictability. Climate Dynamics, 63. 113. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-025-07591-1

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2025) Drivers and mechanisms contributing to excess warming in Europe during recent decades. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science, 8. 41. ISSN 2397-3722 doi: 10.1038/s41612-025-00930-3

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Hannaford, J. and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2024) GC insights: communicating long-term changes in local climate risk using a physically plausible causal chain. Geoscience Communication, 7 (3). pp. 161-165. ISSN 2569-7102 doi: 10.5194/gc-7-161-2024

Lehner, F., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Pendergrass, A. G. and Moore, F. C. (2023) New potential to reduce uncertainty in regional climate projections by combining physical and socio‐economic constraints. AGU Advances, 4 (4). e2023AV000887. ISSN 2576-604X doi: 10.1029/2023AV000887

Wood, R. A., Crucifix, M., Lenton, T. M., Mach, K. J., Moore, C., New, M., Sharpe, S., Stocker, T. F. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2023) A climate science toolkit for high impact‐low likelihood climate risks. Earth's Future, 11 (4). e2022EF003369. ISSN 2328-4277 doi: 10.1029/2022ef003369

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2023) Decadal trends in surface solar radiation and cloud cover over the North Atlantic sector during the last four decades: drivers and physical processes. Climate Dynamics, 60. pp. 2533-2546. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-022-06438-3

Findell, K. L., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Caltabiano, N., Brookshaw, A., Heimbach, P., Kimoto, M., Osprey, S., Smith, D., Risbey, J. S., Wang, Z., Cheng, L., Diaz, L., Donat, M. G., Ek, M., Lee, J.-Y., Minobe, S., Rusticucci, M., Vitart, F. and Wang, L. (2023) Explaining and predicting Earth System Change: a world climate research programme call to action. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 104 (1). E325-E339. ISSN 0003-0007 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-21-0280.1

Martin, M. A., Boakye, E. A., Boyd, E., Broadgate, W., Bustamante, M., Canadell, J. G., Carr, E. R., Chu, E. K., Cleugh, H., Csevar, S., Daoudy, M., de Bremond, A., Dhimal, M., Ebi, K. L., Edwards, C., Fuss, S., Girardin, M. P., Glavovic, B., Hebden, S., Hirota, M., Hsu, H.-H., Huq, S., Ingold, K., Johannessen, O. M., Kameyama, Y., Kumarasinghe, N., Langendijk, G. S., Lissner, T., Lwasa, S., Machalaba, C., Maltais, A., Mathai, M. V., Mbow, C., McNamara, K. E., Mukherji, A., Murray, V., Mysiak, J., Okereke, C., Ospina, D., Otto, F., Prakash, A., Pulhin, J. M., Raju, E., Redman, A., Rigaud, K. K., Rockström, J., Roy, J., Schipper, E. L. F., Schlosser, P., Schulz, K. A., Schumacher, K., Schwarz, L., Scown, M., Šedová, B., Siddiqui, T. A., Singh, C., Sioen, G. B., Stammer, D., Steinert, N. J., Suk, S., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Thalheimer, L., van Aalst, M., van der Geest, K. and Zhao, Z. J. (2022) Ten new insights in climate science 2022. Global Sustainability, 5. e20. ISSN 2059-4798 doi: 10.1017/sus.2022.17

Smith, D. M., Gillett, N. P., Simpson, I. R., Athanasiadis, P. J., Baehr, J., Bethke, I., Bilge, T. A., Bonnet, R., Boucher, O., Findell, K. L., Gastineau, G., Gualdi, S., Hermanson, L., Leung, L. R., Mignot, J., Müller, W. A., Osprey, S., Otterå, O. H., Persad, G. G., Scaife, A. A., Schmidt, G. A., Shiogama, H., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Swingedouw, D., Yang, S., Zhou, T. and Ziehn, T. (2022) Attribution of multi-annual to decadal changes in the climate system: The Large Ensemble Single Forcing Model Intercomparison Project (LESFMIP). Frontiers in Climate, 4. 955414. ISSN 2624-9553 doi: 10.3389/fclim.2022.955414

Dimdore-Miles, O., Gray, L., Osprey, S., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Sinha, B. (2022) Interactions between the stratospheric polar vortex and Atlantic circulation on seasonal to multi-decadal timescales. Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics, 22 (7). pp. 4867-4893. ISSN 1680-7316 doi: 10.5194/acp-22-4867-2022

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Harvey, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6510-8181 (2022) Recent decadal weakening of the summer Eurasian westerly jet attributable to anthropogenic aerosol emissions. Nature Communications, 13. 1148. ISSN 2041-1723 doi: 10.1038/s41467-022-28816-5

Ortega, P., Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Menary, M., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Blaker, A., Germe, A., Hirschi, J. J.-M., Sinha, B., Hermanson, L. and Yeager, S. (2021) Labrador Sea subsurface density as a precursor of multidecadal variability in the North Atlantic: a multi-model study. Earth System Dynamics, 12 (2). pp. 419-438. ISSN 2190-4987 doi: 10.5194/esd-12-419-2021

Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2020) ESD Ideas: global climate response scenarios for IPCC assessments. Earth System Dynamics, 11. pp. 751-754. ISSN 2190-4979 doi: 10.5194/esd-11-751-2020

Ossó, A., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Shaffrey, L. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2020) Development, amplification, and decay of Atlantic/European summer weather patterns linked to spring North Atlantic sea surface temperatures. Journal of Climate, 33 (14). pp. 5939-5951. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: 10.1175/jcli-d-19-0613.1

Ossó, A., Shaffrey, L., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2019) Impact of air-sea coupling on northern hemisphere summer climate and the monsoon-desert teleconnection. Climate Dynamics, 53 (7-8). pp. 5063-5078. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-019-04846-6

Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2019) Climate science needs to take risk assessment much more seriously. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 100 (9). pp. 1637-1642. ISSN 0003-0007 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0280.1

Zhang, R., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Danabasoglu, G., Kwon, Y.‐O., Marsh, R., Yeager, S. G., Amrhein, D. E. and Little, C. M. (2019) A review of the role of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in Atlantic multidecadal variability and associated climate impacts. Reviews of Geophysics, 57 (2). pp. 316-375. ISSN 8755-1209 doi: 10.1029/2019RG000644

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Archibald, A., Cooper, F., Christensen, M., Gray, L. J., Holliday, N. P., Macintosh, C., McMillan, M., Moat, B., Russo, M., Tilling, R., Carslaw, K., Desbruyères, D., Embury, O. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1661-7828, Feltham, D. L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2289-014X, Grosvenor, D. P., Josey, S., King, B., Lewis, A., McCarthy, G. D., Merchant, C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4687-9850, New, A. L., O'Reilly, C. H., Osprey, S. M., Read, K., Scaife, A., Shepherd, A., Sinha, B., Smeed, D., Smith, D., Ridout, A., Woollings, T. and Yang, M. (2018) Recent multivariate changes in the North Atlantic climate system, with a focus on 2005-2016. International Journal of Climatology, 38 (12). pp. 5050-5076. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.5815

Tian, F., Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2018) Forced decadal changes in the East Asian summer monsoon: the roles of greenhouse gases and anthropogenic aerosols. Climate Dynamics, 51 (9-10). pp. 3699-3715. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-018-4105-7

Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Qingchen, C., Ying, X., Junfeng, L., Tong, J., Guangsheng, Z., Kexiu, L., Brown, S., Challinor, A., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Koehler, A.-K., Nicholls, R., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Rensheng, C., Xiaomin, L. and Wentao, W. (2018) Direct risks of climate change. In: UK-China Co-operation on Climate Change Risk Assessment: Developing Indicators of Climate Risk. Committee on Climate Change, London, pp. 58-97.

Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2018) ESD ideas: a simple proposal to improve the contribution of IPCC WGI to the assessment and communication of climate change risks. Earth System Dynamics, 9 (4). pp. 1155-1158. ISSN 2190-4979 doi: 10.5194/esd-9-1155-2018

Osso, A., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Shaffrey, L. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2018) Observational evidence of European summer weather patterns predictable from spring. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America, 115 (1). pp. 59-63. ISSN 0027-8424 doi: 10.1073/pnas.1713146114

Collins, M., Minobe, S., Barreiro, M., Bordoni, S., Kaspi, Y., Kuwano-Yoshida, A., Keenlyside, N., Manzini, E., O'Reilly, C. H., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Xie, S.-P. and Zolina, O. (2018) Challenges and opportunities for improved understanding of regional climate dynamics. Nature Climate Change, 8. pp. 101-108. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/s41558-017-0059-8

Wolf, E., Arnell, N. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2691-4436, Friedlingstein, P., Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644, Haigh, J., Haines, A., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Hegerl, G., Hoskins, B., Mace, G., Prentice, I. C., Shine, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2672-9978, Smith, P., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Turley, C., (2017) Climate updates: what have we learnt since the IPCC 5th Assessment Report? Report. The Royal Society, London, UK. pp36. ISBN 9781782523062

Shaffrey, L. C., Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Stevens, D. P., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Polo, I., Stevens, I., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Lister, G., Iwi, A., Smith, D. and Stephens, A. (2017) Decadal predictions with the HiGEM high resolution global coupled climate model: description and basic evaluation. Climate Dynamics, 48 (1). pp. 297-311. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-016-3075-x

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2016) Connecting climate model projections of global temperature change with the real world. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 97 (6). pp. 963-980. ISSN 0003-0007 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-14-00154.1

Zhang, R., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Danabasoglu, G., Delworth, T. L., Kim, W. M., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X and Yeager, S. G. (2016) Comment on “The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation without a role for ocean circulation”. Science, 352 (6293). p. 1527. ISSN 1095-9203 doi: 10.1126/science.aaf1660

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Ortega, P. and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2016) A reversal of climatic trends in the North Atlantic since 2005. Nature Geoscience, 9 (7). pp. 513-517. ISSN 1752-0894 doi: 10.1038/ngeo2727

Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Highwood, E. (2015) The 2014 hot, dry summer in Northeast Asia. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 96 (12). S105-S110. ISSN 0003-0007 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-15-00123.1

Petrie, R. E., Shaffrey, L. C. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2015) Atmospheric impact of Arctic Sea ice loss in a coupled ocean–atmosphere simulation. Journal of Climate, 28 (24). pp. 9606-9622. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0316.1

Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Suckling, E. and Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 (2015) What does global mean temperature tell us about local climate? Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 373. 20140426. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2014.0426

Menary, M. B., Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Wood, R. A. (2015) A mechanism of internal decadal atlantic ocean variability in a high-resolution coupled climate model. Journal of Climate, 28 (19). pp. 7764-7785. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0106.1

Menary, M. B., Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Robson, J. I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Wood, R. A. and Hunt, J. A. (2015) Exploring the impact of CMIP5 model biases on the simulation of North Atlantic decadal variability. Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (14). pp. 5926-5934. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2015GL064360

Smith, R. S. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7479-7778, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2014) The impact of salinity perturbations on the future uptake of heat by the Atlantic Ocean. Geophysical Research Letters, 41 (24). pp. 9072-9079. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1002/2014GL062169

Polo, I., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Balmaseda, M. A. (2014) The importance of wind and buoyancy forcing for the boundary density variations and the geostrophic component of the AMOC at 26°N. Journal of Physical Oceanography, 44 (9). pp. 2387-2408. ISSN 0022-3670 doi: 10.1175/JPO-D-13-0264.1

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Shaffrey, L. (2014) The 2013 hot, dry summer in Western Europe. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95 (9). S61-S66. ISSN 0003-0007 doi: 10.1175/1520-0477-95.9.S1.1

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Highwood, E. and Wilcox, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2014) The impacts of European and Asian anthropogenic sulphur dioxide emissions on Sahel rainfall. Journal of Climate, 27 (18). pp. 7000-7017. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-13-00769.1

Kirtman, B., Power, S. B., Adedoyin, J. A., Boer, G. J., Camilloni, I., Doblas-Reyes, F. J., Fiore, A. M., Kimoto, M., Meehl, G. A., Prather, M., Sarr, A., Schar, C., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, van Oldenborgh, G. J., Vecchi, G. and Wang, H. J. (2014) Near-term climate change: projections and predictability. In: Stocker, T. F., Qin, D., Plattner, G.-K., Tignor, M. M.B., Allen, S. K., Boschung, J., Nauels, A., Xia, Y., Bex, V. and Midgley, P. M. (eds.) Climate change 2013 : the physical science basis : contribution to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. ISBN 9781107661820 doi: 10.1017/CBO9781107415324.023

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Smith, D. (2014) Decadal predictions of the cooling and freshening of the North Atlantic in the 1960s and the role of ocean circulation. Climate Dynamics, 42 (9-10). pp. 2353-2365. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-014-2115-7

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Woollings, T. and Hodges, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0894-229X (2013) Variability of the North Atlantic summer storm track: mechanisms and impacts on European climate. Environmental Research Letters, 8 (3). 034037. ISSN 1748-9326 doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/8/3/034037

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Smith, D. (2013) Predictable climate impacts of the decadal changes in the ocean in the 1990s. Journal of Climate, 26 (17). pp. 6329-6339. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00827.1

Polo, I., Dong, B. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2013) Changes in tropical Atlantic interannual variability from a substantial weakening of the meridional overturning circulation. Climate Dynamics, 41 (9-10). pp. 2765-2784. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-013-1716-x

Zhang, R., Delworth, T. L., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Dixon, K. W., Held, I. M., Kushnir, Y., Marshall, J., Ming, Y., Msadek, R., Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Rosati, A. J., Ting, M. and Vecchi, G. A. (2013) Have aerosols caused the observed Atlantic multidecadal variability? Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 70 (4). pp. 1135-1144. ISSN 1520-0469 doi: 10.1175/JAS-D-12-0331.1

Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2012) The impact of resolution on the adjustment and decadal variability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation in a coupled climate model. Climate Dynamics, 39 (12). pp. 3057-3073. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-012-1309-0

Mauritzen, C., Melsom, A. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2012) Importance of density-compensated temperature change for deep North Atlantic Ocean heat uptake. Nature Geoscience, 5 (12). pp. 905-910. ISSN 1752-0908 doi: 10.1038/ngeo1639

Srokosz, M., Baringer, M., Bryden, H., Cunningham, S., Delworth, T., Lozier, S., Marotzke, J. and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2012) Past, present and future change in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 93 (11). pp. 1663-1676. ISSN 0003-0007 doi: 10.1175/BAMS-D-11-00151.1

Robson, J.I. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R.T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Smith, D.M. (2012) Initialized decadal predictions of the rapid warming of the North Atlantic Ocean in the mid 1990s. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (L19713). ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2012GL053370

Chalmers, N., Highwood, E. J., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Wilcox, L. J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5691-1493 (2012) Aerosol contribution to the rapid warming of near-term climate under RCP 2.6. Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (18). L18709. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2012GL052848

Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Lohmann, K., Smith, D. and Palmer, M. D. (2012) Causes of the rapid warming of the North Atlantic ocean in the mid-1990s. Journal of Climate, 25 (12). pp. 4116-4134. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00443.1

Keeley, S., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Shaffrey, L. (2012) The impact of North Atlantic sea surface temperature errors on the simulation of North Atlantic European region climate. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 138 (668). pp. 1774-1783. ISSN 0035-9009 doi: 10.1002/qj.1912

Iwi, A. M., Hermanson, L., Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2012) Mechanisms linking volcanic aerosols to the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. Journal of Climate, 25 (8). pp. 3039-3051. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2011JCLI4067.1

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Robson, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3467-018X, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Smith, D. and Keenlyside, N. (2011) Evaluating the potential for statistical decadal predictions of sea surface temperatures with a perfect model approach. Climate Dynamics, 37 (11-12). pp. 2495-2509. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1023-3

Joshi, M., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Lowe, J. and Frame, D. (2011) Projections of when temperature change will exceed 2°C above pre-industrial levels. Nature Climate Change, 1 (8). pp. 407-412. ISSN 1758-678X doi: 10.1038/NCLIMATE1261

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2011) The potential to narrow uncertainty in projections of regional precipitation change. Climate Dynamics, 37 (1-2). pp. 407-418. ISSN 1432-0894 doi: 10.1007/s00382-010-0810-6

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2011) Estimating climatically relevant singular vectors for decadal predictions of the Atlantic Ocean. Journal of Climate, 24 (1). pp. 109-123. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2010JCLI3579.1

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Woollings, T. (2011) Changes of interannual NAO variability in response to greenhouse gases forcing. Climate Dynamics, 37 (7-8). pp. 1621-1641. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-010-0936-6

Ortega, P., Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2011) Processes governing the predictability of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation in a coupled GCM. Climate Dynamics, 37 (9-10). pp. 1771-1782. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-011-1025-1

Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Cassou, C., Keenlyside, N., Okumura, Y. and Zhou, T. (2010) Climate impacts of recent multidecadal changes in Atlantic Ocean Sea Surface Temperature: A multimodel comparison. Climate Dynamics, 34 (7-8). pp. 1041-1058. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-009-0571-2

Hermanson, L. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2010) Case studies in interannual to decadal climate predictability. Climate Dynamics, 35 (7-8). pp. 1169-1189. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-009-0672-y

Keeley, S. P. E., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Shaffrey, L. C. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X (2009) Does the North Atlantic Oscillation show unusual persistence on intraseasonal timescales? Geophysical Research Letters, 36. L22706. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2009GL040367

Keeley, S. P. E., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Shaffrey, L. C. (2009) Does the North Atlantic Oscillation show unusual persistence on intraseasonal timescales? Geophysical Research Letters, 36. L22706. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2009GL040367

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Dufresne, J.-L., Gualdi, S., Friedlingstein, P., Keenlyside, N., Maheras, P., Salas, D., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Terray, L. (2009) Understanding the processes governing climate variability and change, climate predictability and the probability of extreme events. In: Summary of research and results from the ENSEMBLES project. Met Office Hadley Centre, Met Office Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter EX1 3PB, UK, pp. 79-93.

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Dufresne, J.-L., Gualdi, S., Friedlingstein, P., Keenlyside, N., Maheras, P., Salas, D., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Terray, L. (2009) Understanding the processes governing climate variability and change, climate predictability and the probability of extreme events. In: Summary of research and results from the ENSEMBLES project:. Met Office Hadley Centre, Met Office Hadley Centre, FitzRoy Road, Exeter EX1 3PB, UK, pp. 79-93.

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2009) The potential to narrow uncertainty in regional climate predictions. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 90 (8). pp. 1095-1107. ISSN 1520-0477 doi: 10.1175/2009BAMS2607.1

Wilby, R.L., Troni, J., Biot, Y., Tedd, L., Hewitson, B.C., Smith, D.M. and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2009) A review of climate risk information for adaptation and development planning. International Journal of Climatology, 29 (9). pp. 1193-1215. ISSN 0899-8418 doi: 10.1002/joc.1839

Hermanson, L. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2009) Climate predictability in the second year. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society. Part A, 367 (1890). pp. 913-916. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2008.0181

Haines, K. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2768-2374, Hermanson, K. L., Liu, C. L., Putt, D., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Iwi, A. and Smith, D. (2009) Decadal climate prediction (project GCEP). Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A: Mathematical, Physical and Engineering Sciences, 367 (1890). pp. 925-937. ISSN 1364-503X doi: 10.1098/rsta.2008.0178

Hawkins, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9477-3677 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2009) Decadal predictability of the Atlantic Ocean in a coupled GCM: forecast skill and optimal perturbations using Linear Inverse Modelling. Journal of Climate, 22 (14). pp. 3960-3978. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI2720.1

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2009) Understanding land-sea warming contrast in response to increasing greenhouse gases. Part I: Transient adjustment. Journal of Climate, 22 (11). pp. 3079-3097. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/2009JCLI2652.1

Stott, P.A., Sutton, R.T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Smith, D.M. (2008) Detection and attribution of Atlantic salinity changes. Geophysical Research Letters, 35 (21). L21702. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2008GL035874

Hodson, D.L.R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 and Sutton, R.T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2008) Exploring Multi-model atmospheric GCM Ensembles with ANOVA. Climate Dynamcs, 31 (7-8). pp. 973-986. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-008-0372-z

Hodson, D.L.R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 and Sutton, R.T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2008) Exploring Multi-model atmospheric GCM Ensembles with ANOVA. Climate Dynamics, 31 (7-8). pp. 973-986. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-008-0372-z

Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2007) Enhancement of ENSO variability by a weakened Atlantic thermohaline circulation in a coupled GCM. Journal of Climate, 20 (19). pp. 4290-4239. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI4284.1

Timmermann, A., Okumura, Y., An, S. -I., Clement, A., Dong, B. -W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Hu, A., Jungclaus, J., Krebs, U., Renold, M., Stocker, T. F., Stouffer, R. J., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Xie, S. -P. and Yin, J. (2007) The influence of a weakening of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation on ENSO. Journal of Climate, 20 (19). pp. 4899-4919. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI4283.1

Spencer, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Slingo, J.M. (2007) El Nino in a Coupled Climate Model: Sensitivity to changes in mean state induced by heat flux and wind stress corrections. Journal of Climate, 20 (10). pp. 2273-2298. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI4111.1

Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820, Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Madec, G. (2007) A new feedback on climate change from the hydrological cycle. Geophysical Research Letters, 34 (8). L08706. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2007GL029275

Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Gregory, J. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 (2007) Land/sea warming ratio in response to climate change: IPCC AR4 model results and comparison with observations. Geophysical Research Letters, 34. L02701. ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2006GL028164

Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Hodson, D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 (2007) Climate response to basin-scale warming and cooling of the North Atlantic Ocean. Journal of Climate, 20 (5). pp. 891-907. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI4038.1

George, S. E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0396-0299 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2007) Predictability and skill of boreal winter forecasts made with the ECMWF Seasonal Forecasting System II. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 132 (619). pp. 2031-2053. ISSN 1477-870X doi: 10.1256/qj.04.180

Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820, Guilyardi, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2255-8625, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Madec, G. (2006) On the climate response of the low-latitude Pacific Ocean to changes in the global freshwater cycle. Climate Dynamics, 27 (6). pp. 593-611. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-006-0151-7

Williams, P. D. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9713-9820, Guilyardi, E., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Gregory, J. M. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1296-8644 and Madec, G. (2006) On the climate response of the low-latitude Pacific Ocean to changes in the global freshwater cycle. Climate Dynamics, 27 (6). pp. 593-611. ISSN 0930-7575 doi: 10.1007/s00382-006-0151-7

Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2006) Bjerknes compensation and the decadal variability of the energy transports in a coupled climate model. Journal Of Climate, 19 (7). pp. 1167-1181. ISSN 1520-0442 doi: 10.1175/JCLI3652.1

Shaffrey, L. and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2006) Bjerknes compensation and the decadal variability of the energy transports in a coupled climate model. Journal of Climate, 19 (7). pp. 1167-1181. ISSN 0894-8755 doi: 10.1175/JCLI3652.1

Hurrell, J. W., Visbeck, M., Busalacchi, A., Clarke, R. A., Delworth, T. L., Dickson, R. R., Johns, W. E., Koltermann, K. P., Kushnir, Y., Marshall, D., Mauritzen, C., McCartney, M. S., Piola, A., Reason, C., Reverdin, G., Schott, F., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Wainer, I. and Wright, D. (2006) Atlantic climate variability and predictability: A CLIVAR perspective. Journal Of Climate, 19 (20). pp. 5100-5121. ISSN 1520-0442

Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2006) CLIVAR Workshop on Atlantic Climate Predictability - Preface to the special issue of the Journal of Climate. Journal Of Climate, 19 (23). p. 5947. ISSN 1520-0442

Snaith, H. and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2006) Coupled ocean-atmosphere processes and European climate (COAPEC): Improved understanding of the coupled climate system - Preface. Journal Of Climate, 19 (7). p. 1065. ISSN 1520-0442

Collins, M., Botzet, A., Carril, A. F., Drange, H., Jouzeau, A., Latif, M., Masina, S., Otteraa, O. H., Pohlmann, H., Sorteberg, A., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Terray, L. (2006) Interannual to decadal climate predictability in the North Atlantic: A multimodel-ensemble study. Journal Of Climate, 19 (7). pp. 1195-1203. ISSN 1520-0442

Dong, B. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Scaife, A. A. (2006) Multidecadal modulation of El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variance by Atlantic Ocean sea surface temperatures. Geophysical Research Letters, 33 (8). doi: 10.1029/2006GL025766

Copsey, D., Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Knight, J. R. (2006) Recent trends in sea level pressure in the Indian Ocean region. Geophysical Research Letters, 33 (19). ISSN 0094-8276 doi: 10.1029/2006GL027175

Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2006) The influence of oceanic conditions on the hot Europen summer of 2003. Climate Dynamics, 28. pp. 53-66.

Pezzulli, S., Frederic, P., Majithia, S., Sabbagh, S., Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186, Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Stephenson, D. (2006) The seasonal forecast of electricity demand: A hierarchical Bayesian model with climatological weather generator. Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, 22 (2). pp. 113-125. ISSN 1524-1904

Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Hodson, D. L. R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 (2005) Atlantic Ocean forcing of North American and European summer climate. Science, 309 (5731). pp. 115-118.

Spencer, H. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4553-7082, Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Slingo, J. M., Roberts, M. and Black, E. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1344-6186 (2005) Indian Ocean climate and dipole variability in Hadley Centre coupled GCMs. Journal Of Climate, 18 (13). pp. 2286-2307. ISSN 1520-0442

Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2005) Informing adaptation: New challenges for the climate modelling community. Weather, 60. p. 186.

Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2005) Informing adaptation: New challenges for the climate modelling community. Weather, 60. p. 186. ISSN 0043-1656

Dong, B. W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2005) Mechanism of interdecadal thermohaline circulation variability in a coupled ocean-atmosphere GCM. Journal Of Climate, 18 (8). pp. 1117-1135. ISSN 1520-0442

Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Mathieu, P. P., Collins, M. and Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 (2005) Response to comment by Geert van Oldenburgh on "Predictability of winter climate over the North Atlantic European region during ENSO events". Journal Of Climate, 18 (14). pp. 2773-2774. ISSN 1520-0442

Shaffrey, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2696-752X and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2004) The interannual variability of energy transports within and over the Atlantic Ocean in a coupled climate model. Journal Of Climate, 17 (7). pp. 1433-1448. ISSN 1520-0442

Shaffrey, L. and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2004) The interannual variability of energy transports within and over the Atlantic Ocean in a coupled climate model. Journal of Climate, 17 (7). pp. 1433-1448. ISSN 0894-8755

Rodwell, M. J., Drevillon, M., Frankignoul, C., Hurrell, J. W., Pohlmann, H., Stendel, M. and Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2004) North Atlantic forcing of climate and its uncertainty from a multi-model experiment. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 130 (601). pp. 2013-2032. ISSN 1477-870X

Mathieu, P. P., Sutton, R. T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Dong, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Collins, M. (2004) Predictability of winter climate over the North Atlantic European region during ENSO events. Journal Of Climate, 17 (10). pp. 1953-1974. ISSN 1520-0442

Frankignoul, C., Kestenare, E., Botzet, M., Carril, A. F., Drange, H., Pardaens, A., Terray, L. and Sutton, R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2004) An intercomparison between the surface heat flux feedback in five coupled models, COADS and the NCEP reanalysis. Climate Dynamics, 22 (4). pp. 373-388.

Sutton, R.T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 and Hodson, D.L.R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 (2003) Influence of the ocean on North Atlantic climate variability 1871-1999. Journal Of Climate, 16. pp. 3296-3313. ISSN 1520-0442

Dong, B.W. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0809-7911 and Sutton, R.T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583 (2003) Variability of Atlantic Ocean heat transport and its effects on the atmosphere. Annales Geophysicae, 46. pp. 87-97.

Sutton, R.T. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8345-8583, Hodson, D.L.R. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7159-6700 and Mathieu, P.P. (2003) The role of the Atlantic Ocean in climate forecasting. Proceedings of the ECMWF workshop on the role of the upper ocean in medium and extended range forecasting. In: ECMWF.

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