Working group 3: What are and how do we measure the pros and cons of existing approaches?

Reynolds, C., Leutbecher, M., Batte, L., Chen, S., Christensen, H., Klasa, C., Pegion, P., Plant, B. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8808-0022, Raynaud, L., Roberts, N., Sandu, I., Singleton, A., Sommer, M., Swinbank, R., Tennant, W. and Theis, S. (2016) Working group 3: What are and how do we measure the pros and cons of existing approaches? In: ECMWF/WWRP Workshop: Model Uncertainty, 2016-04-11 - 2016-04-15, ECMWF, Reading, pp. 13-16.

Abstract/Summary

WG3 discussed both the pros and cons of existing schemes as well as metrics to measure relative advantages and disadvantages. We first provide a list of the current operational techniques and their respective advantages and disadvantages that were discussed in the WG. We do not claim that the list is complete, and we note that the pros and cons are neither exhaustive nor quantitative. Nevertheless, it may be useful to note the WG’s consensus on the general advantages and disadvantages of the most commonly-used schemes. We then list our recommendations for evaluating model uncertainty schemes. At the end is a short list pertaining to recommendations for further development of methods to represent model uncertainty.