El Niño 2015/2016: impact analysis of past El Niños

Hirons, L. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1189-7576 and Klingaman, N., (2015) El Niño 2015/2016: impact analysis of past El Niños. Report. Evidence on Demand doi: 10.12774/eod_cr.august2015.hironsletal

Abstract/Summary

This is a DfID (Department for International Development) commissioned report on the impact of historical El Niño events on low- and middle-income countries across Africa and elsewhere. The report identifies El Niño events in the past 35 years and highlights regions and countries vulnerable to their impacts. The impacts on rainfall and temperature are broken down by season and country as the El Niño develops, peaks and decays and are represented in at-a-glance Impact Tables. The Impact Tables also include an extensive review of literature (e.g., peer-reviewed, grey literature and media reports) to identify potential socio-economic impacts in vulnerable sectors such as water, infrastructure, energy and health. The risk of such impacts are graded as high, medium or potential depending on the meteorological signal and the robustness of evidence available.